Our Week 3 call for Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers is Pittsburgh +3.5 at home against Cincinnati on Sunday, September 27, taken from our Bengals at Steelers prediction. Rodgers has thrown for 408 yards, one touchdown and one interception in his first two games of what he has said is his final NFL season.
Pittsburgh is 1-1: a 20-13 win over Atlanta in Week 1 and a 20-3 loss at New England in Week 2. This page follows Rodgers through the season and is updated after each game.
Rodgers in 2026, game by game
| Week | Opponent | Result | Passing | Sacked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta | W 20-13 | 24 of 40, 221 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT | 2 |
| 2 | at New England | L 20-3 | 23 of 39, 187 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT | 4 |
| Total | 1-1 | 47 of 79, 408 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT | 6 |
That is a 59.5% completion rate and 5.2 yards per attempt. His passer rating was 83.4 in Week 1 and 60.5 in Week 2, and Pittsburgh gained 235 yards in the loss at New England.
The Week 3 call, from our game page
Our prediction takes Pittsburgh and the points: “Pittsburgh is getting 3.5 at home now. I still want the Steelers and the points, and I want them for fewer reasons than I did.” The page’s price range for Pittsburgh +3.5 was -105 to -115 across 11 books, which needs a 51.2% to 53.5% win rate to break even.
It also says plainly that Week 2 went against the argument behind the pick, and the line moving from +2.5 to +3.5 is why the call stands. The full case, and how the price moved, is on the game page.
Rodgers’ final season
Rodgers has said he will retire after the 2026 season. “This is it,” he said, as NFL.com reported it. He has 66,682 career passing yards on ESPN’s career record, so he needs 3,318 more to reach 70,000.
With 15 games left on Pittsburgh’s schedule, that is 221.2 yards a game. He has reached that mark once in two starts this season, the 221 yards against Atlanta.
Steelers futures
| Market | DraftKings | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| AFC North winner | +700 | 12.5% |
| AFC champion | +2800 | 3.4% |
| Super Bowl winner | +5000 | 2.0% |
These are the prices ESPN listed for Pittsburgh on September 25, 2026. We make no pick on a futures market; the implied chance is what each price asks you to believe, and a bet is worth making only when you rate it higher. Our Super Bowl odds page has the full board.
Where to go next
After Cincinnati, Pittsburgh plays at Cleveland on Thursday night, October 1, then hosts Indianapolis on October 11. Our NFL predictions hub carries each game as its prediction is published, and the Steelers team page has the schedule.
For player markets across the league, see our NFL player prop bets. For paid picks, compare the handicappers on PicksToday first.
