Mountain West football odds after Week 9 have New Mexico at -175 to win the conference on DraftKings (ESPN’s college football futures list, read at 07:55 UTC on November 2, 2026), from -172 on this page on October 28. New Mexico is 4-0 in league play and 7-1 overall, the only unbeaten team in the Mountain West.
Our October 28 calls stand as published: New Mexico is our championship prediction, with a pass on a new bet at -172, and Wyoming +3100 is a small-stake futures value pick, “a small-stake longshot rather than a prediction that Wyoming is better than New Mexico.” Both are open and will be graded after the December 4 title game. The board now has Wyoming at +3000 and New Mexico at -175.
Mountain West championship odds
| Team | Price, Nov. 2 | Implied chance | Price on this page, Oct. 28 |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | -175 | 63.6% | -172 |
| North Dakota State | +355 | 22.0% | +330 |
| UNLV | +440 | 18.5% | +455 |
| Air Force | +2450 | 3.9% | +2300 |
| Wyoming | +3000 | 3.2% | +3100 |
| Nevada | +10000 | 1.0% | not listed |
These are the moves since October 28 on the DraftKings board, read from ESPN at 07:55 UTC on November 2. North Dakota State went from +330 to +355, UNLV from +455 to +440, Air Force from +2300 to +2450, and Wyoming from +3100 to +3000. Nevada is new on the list at +10000. The market’s order does not follow the standings: Wyoming is second in the standings at 4-1 and fifth on the board, while North Dakota State is fourth in the standings at 4-2 and second on the board. At -175, a New Mexico ticket needs the Lobos to win the conference more than 63.6% of the time to break even. That figure still carries the book’s margin, the extra a book builds into its prices.
Mountain West standings after Week 9
| Team | MW | Overall |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 4-0 | 7-1 |
| Wyoming | 4-1 | 5-3 |
| UNLV | 3-1 | 5-3 |
| North Dakota State | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Air Force | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Nevada | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| San José State | 2-3 | 4-5 |
| Hawai’i | 1-4 | 2-6 |
| UTEP | 0-4 | 1-7 |
| Northern Illinois | 0-4 | 0-8 |
The two teams with the highest conference winning percentage play for the title, and the one with the higher percentage hosts (the Mountain West’s rule). ESPN orders the top of the table by that percentage, as read at 07:55 UTC on November 2: New Mexico 1.000, Wyoming .800, UNLV .750, North Dakota State .667, Air Force .600.
What Week 9 changed for the Mountain West football odds
Three league games were played on October 31, and the favorites won all three. New Mexico beat San José State 21-16 as a -15.5 favorite, a 5-point win that did not cover. North Dakota State beat UTEP 31-7 at -23.5 and covered by winning by 24. UNLV beat Northern Illinois 31-24 at -21.5, a 7-point win that did not cover. The closing lines are the last DraftKings numbers ESPN holds for each game, read at 07:56 UTC on November 2.
Wyoming and Air Force had no league game that day. Wyoming had an open date. Air Force beat UConn 35-26 at home outside the league, which leaves its 3-2 conference record where it was.
The race was set up a week earlier. On October 23, in Air Force at Wyoming, Wyoming won 28-14. On October 24, in North Dakota State at New Mexico, New Mexico won 21-16.
Our Mountain West predictions on these games
| Game | Our call | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force at Wyoming, Fri., Oct. 23 | Wyoming +5.5 | Wyoming 28, Air Force 14 | Won |
| North Dakota State at New Mexico, Sat., Oct. 24 | No bet | New Mexico 21, North Dakota State 16 | No bet |
| New Mexico at San José State, Sat., Oct. 31 | San José State +14.5 | New Mexico 21, San José State 16 | Won |
| UTEP at North Dakota State, Sat., Oct. 31 | No bet | North Dakota State 31, UTEP 7 | No bet |
| Northern Illinois at UNLV, Sat., Oct. 31 | Northern Illinois +24.5 | UNLV 31, Northern Illinois 24 | Won |
This page has named five Mountain West games, each called on its own prediction page before kickoff. The record is 3 bets, 3 won, and 2 no bets. For Air Force at Wyoming the published call read: “Our Air Force vs Wyoming prediction has Wyoming by half a point. Take Wyoming +5.5.” For New Mexico at San José State it read: “Our number has New Mexico by 5. At +14.5, take San José State.” These are game predictions, separate from the futures calls above. Five games is too small a sample to say anything about the method’s long-run rate.
The games that decide the Mountain West title
Four league games are left between teams in the top five, with dates and Eastern times from ESPN’s schedule (read at 07:55 UTC on November 2):
- Wyoming at UNLV, Sat., Nov. 7, 10:30 p.m. ET
- UNLV at New Mexico, Sat., Nov. 14, 7:30 p.m. ET
- New Mexico at Wyoming, Sat., Nov. 21, 9 p.m. ET
- Air Force at New Mexico, Sat., Nov. 28, 4:30 p.m. ET
New Mexico at Wyoming is on Saturday, November 21. The October 28 edition of this page had it on November 20, and ESPN lists the Saturday date.
New Mexico and UNLV have four league games left each. Wyoming, North Dakota State and Air Force have three each. North Dakota State plays none of the other four contenders again:
- New Mexico: at Nevada (Fri., Nov. 6), vs. UNLV (Sat., Nov. 14), at Wyoming (Sat., Nov. 21), vs. Air Force (Sat., Nov. 28)
- UNLV: vs. Wyoming (Sat., Nov. 7), at New Mexico (Sat., Nov. 14), at San José State (Sat., Nov. 21), vs. Nevada (Sat., Nov. 28)
- Wyoming: at UNLV (Sat., Nov. 7), at UTEP (Sat., Nov. 14), vs. New Mexico (Sat., Nov. 21)
- North Dakota State: at Hawai’i (Sat., Nov. 14), vs. Northern Illinois (Sat., Nov. 21), at San José State (Fri., Nov. 27)
- Air Force: vs. San José State (Sat., Nov. 14), vs. UTEP (Fri., Nov. 20), at New Mexico (Sat., Nov. 28)
| Week | Date | Game | Kickoff (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fri., Nov. 6 | New Mexico at Nevada | 9 p.m. |
| 10 | Sat., Nov. 7 | Northern Illinois at San José State | 4 p.m. |
| 10 | Sat., Nov. 7 | Hawai’i at UTEP | 9:30 p.m. |
| 10 | Sat., Nov. 7 | Wyoming at UNLV | 10:30 p.m. |
| 11 | Sat., Nov. 14 | Nevada at Northern Illinois | TBD |
| 11 | Sat., Nov. 14 | Wyoming at UTEP | TBD |
| 11 | Sat., Nov. 14 | San José State at Air Force | 7 p.m. |
| 11 | Sat., Nov. 14 | UNLV at New Mexico | 7:30 p.m. |
| 11 | Sat., Nov. 14 | North Dakota State at Hawai’i | 11 p.m. |
| 12 | Fri., Nov. 20 | UTEP at Air Force | 8 p.m. |
| 12 | Sat., Nov. 21 | Hawai’i at Nevada | TBD |
| 12 | Sat., Nov. 21 | Northern Illinois at North Dakota State | 4 p.m. |
| 12 | Sat., Nov. 21 | UNLV at San José State | 7 p.m. |
| 12 | Sat., Nov. 21 | New Mexico at Wyoming | 9 p.m. |
| 13 | Fri., Nov. 27 | North Dakota State at San José State | 3:30 p.m. |
| 13 | Sat., Nov. 28 | UTEP at Northern Illinois | TBD |
| 13 | Sat., Nov. 28 | Air Force at New Mexico | 4:30 p.m. |
| 13 | Sat., Nov. 28 | Nevada at UNLV | 9 p.m. |
Mountain West championship game
The title game is on Friday, December 4, at 9 p.m. ET (8 p.m. CT), on FOX. These details come from the Mountain West’s release of June 4, 2026, and ESPN’s week 14 schedule, read at 08:09 UTC on November 2.
The site is not set. The two teams with the highest conference winning percentage qualify, and the one with the higher percentage hosts. Both of our October 28 calls, New Mexico as the prediction and Wyoming +3100 as the value pick, are graded on that result.
For individual games, see our college football predictions. The national market is on our college football championship odds page, and two more futures markets are on our Big Ten football odds and Heisman Trophy odds pages.
*Sources: ESPN standings, scores, schedule and DraftKings Mountain West Conference winner prices, read 07:55 UTC, November 2, 2026; DraftKings closing lines for Week 9 as held by ESPN, read 07:56 UTC, November 2, 2026; Mountain West release of June 4, 2026, and ESPN week 14 schedule, read 08:09 UTC, November 2, 2026; our game predictions, read 07:56 UTC, November 2, 2026.*