Week 13 is a tricky one for NFL betting as we head into the extended holiday weekend starting with three intriguing Thanksgiving Day games and a thrilling Black Friday matchup.

Then we have a slate of NFL on Sunday, November 30, with a number of clunkers, large spreads, and even larger moneylines. With that said, there are a few Underdogs that we feel confident in and one that is a bit risky. Then again, isn’t that what Thanksgiving is all about? Eating until your stuffed, then risking one more serving.

Two of the following Underdog picks have also cracked our best NFL parlay picks of the week. So, check that out, as well.

In Week 12, we ended up going 2-2 with our Underdog picks. That marks two straight weeks of a 2-2 record. We nailed the Colts and Browns. In fact, it was so good that we almost predicted the outcomes exactly.

For the Colts-Chiefs game, I predicted the following: “I think KC could kick a field goal to win the game, but that still allows us to hit on Indy covering the 3.5-point spread.”

KC kicked a FG in overtime to win the game. Also had a similar success for the Cleveland game last weekend as they won outright:

“I like for the Browns to possibly win this game outright. However, I am taking the four points since we’re still talking about Cleveland.”

Unfortunately, the NFC South let us down in Week 12 as both the Bucs and Panthers failed to cover one-touchdown spreads.

With that said, we do have a handful of NFL picks for Week 13 that we are really high on. We feel that most of these selections have lines that the sportsbooks missed the mark on. And, that’s where we swoop in and try to maximize the perceived betting value.

So, without further delay, let’s dive over the top of this pile, cross the goal line, and make some winning NFL underdog picks.

NFL Week 13 Underdog Picks

Team	Spread	Moneyline
Chicago Bears	+7	+270
Houston Texans	+4.5	+175
New York Jets	+3	+125
Las Vegas Raiders	+10	+400

Over the last three weeks, we’ve gone 11-5 with our Underdog picks: Week 9 (3-1), Week 10 (4-0), Week 11 (2-2) and Week 12 (2-2). So, even though we didn’t hit our four-leg Underdog parlay card over the last weeks, we’re still nailing these dogs at an impressive clip in November.

This week, all of our underdog NFL teams have appealing spreads that we’re targeting. We’ve also split the picks with three Away Dogs (Bears, Texans, Raiders) and one Home Dog (Jets).

Of course, I am just one voice here at Scores and Stats. We have a bunch of terrific NFL betting experts, as well as elite offerings. You can test it all out for free via our sports handicapping service.

NFL Underdog Picks For Week 13

Check out our best NFL underdogs this week:

Chicago Bears +7 (-110) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles have dominated this series in recent years, going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six head-to-head meetings. However, I really like what the Chicago Bears offense is doing this season.

Chicago is ranked in the Top 10 for all major categories, except passing yards which they are 12^th. But that’s due to being the no.2 rushing offense at 142.3 yards per game. The Bears are putting up the 6^th most points (26.3 ppg) and yards per game (369.6 ypg).

They also have the 8^th best mark at converting 3^rd Downs (42.18%). This is a big reason why they score so many points because the offense is extending drives.

Chicago’s offense was scary against the Steelers last weekend when they put up 31 points. However, they were downright unstoppable against the Bengals a month ago when they put up 47 points. This unit will face a rugged Eagles defense, but should still find success.

I like for the Bears to be competitive in this matchup and keeping it within a touchdown. Over the last three meetings, the Eagles averaged 21.0 ppg and Chicago averaged 16.33 ppg. I can see a similar result on Black Friday.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets +3 (-110)

The Jeff Ulbrich bowl is a battle of two disappointing squads. Yet, we really like the Home Team in this one as the New York Jets keep fighting despite their 2-9 record. The Atlanta Falcons are 4-7 but their season is done with Michael Penix Jr. out for the year and WR Drake London possibly missing multiple games due to a knee injury.

Atlanta has also lost five games in a row before beating the lowly Saints last week. That was a divisional game, so I expect some effort there. However, against the Jets, I like New York and its rowdy fans to cover the 3 points or even pull off the upset victory.

These two teams have played against each other 14 times and Atlanta owns a 9-5 record which includes winning seven of the last nine meetings.

With that said, the falcons are 1-4 SU in their last four road games and the Jets are 4-2 ATS in their last six games. Both teams are disappointing against the run and very similar in stopping the pass.

I just can’t take Kirk Cousins to cover this spread. He’s looked inept in Atlanta as the starting QB. And, without London, I think the Jets will find success in getting after Cousins.

Houston Texans +4.5 (-110) vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Indianapolis Colts have dominated this rivalry with a 33-13-1 all-time record against the Houston Texans. Furthermore, the Colts have gone 8-0 SU in their last eight home games versus the Texans. However, I really like this Houston defense. They are the best in the NFL and can win games even with a limited offense.

Did you see what Houston did to Buffalo last week? This defense is playing at a level that Indy will struggle with.

Last weekend, Indy’s no.4 rushing offense struggled to run the ball against the Chiefs. This allowed KC to stay in the game and win in OT. I see a similar run stopping performance by Houston’s no.5 rushing defense that allows only 92.2 yards per game.

Additionally, don’t expect Daniel Jones to lead Indy’s offense by passing the ball up and down the field. Houston has an elite secondary that ranks no.3 against the pass as they hold opposing offenses to just 172.1 ypg.

So, if Indy can’t run or pass the ball at the levels of success that they’re accustomed to, then we should see a low scoring game. And, that fits right with what Houston does as they allow only 16.5 ppg which is the second fewest in the NFL.

Houston’s offense is slowly coming together and might even get CJ Stroud back for Sunday’s game. But, if they don’t, I can still see this game being a slugfest which favors the best defense in the NFL – Houston.

Take the Texans to keep this game within four points.

Las Vegas Raiders +10 (-110) vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Despite heading to Los Angeles to face the Chargers, the Las Vegas Raiders should still have a large contingency of fans there considering they were once a resident of LA and Las Vegas is only a few hours away by car or Madden bus.

The Raiders and Chargers have played against each other 132 times and it’s Las Vegas with a 69-61-2 series lead. However, the Chargers have won four of the last five meetings which includes three consecutive victories. Yet, the one win by the Raiders over that span saw Las Vegas win 63-21.

When we last saw the Chargers, they lost 35-6 against the Jaguars. LA’s offense was pitiful and the offensive line looked non-existent. I like for the Raiders defense to have a strong performance against an inconsistent Chargers’ offensive line. The Chargers allow the 7^th highest sack rate.

The Chargers allowed 20 points against the Titans a few weeks ago, which gives me hope for the Raiders offense to find modest success against LA who also allows 113.8 rushing yards per game. Jeanty should find some running room, as well.

Also, the Raiders nearly beat both the Jaguars are Broncos in consecutive weeks, losing by a combined four points.

Divisional games are tough and often close games. Over the last 10 meetings, the Raiders have averaged 24.1 ppg and the Chargers have scored 25.5 ppg.

NFL Underdog Parlay

• Chicago Bears +7 (-110)
• Houston Texans +4.5 (-110)
• New York Jets +3 (-110)
• Las Vegas Raiders +10 (-110)

The Jets and Raiders are definitely risky bets considering their overall seasons to date. However, these Week 13 games are appealing considering both teams are playing at home and they match up well against their opponents.

The Bears at Philly is less risky than New York and Las Vegas due to their Top 10 ranked offense. However, Philly is nearly unbeatable at home, so we prefer the seven points than the moneyline. And, lastly, the Texans’ elite defense should keep their game against the Colts within the prime number of 4.

Underdog parlays are risky bets, but this one has some real juice that we think has a serious shot at hitting. If you lay $100 on this four-leg parlay at the top online betting sites, then you would win $1228. That’s a 12x on your initial investment.

I don’t know about you, but a small flier on this four-leg parlay seems like a great addition to your Week 13 NFL card. Also, if you want more exciting parlay action, then check out our best NFL parlays of the week and our best College Football parlays of the week.

Best NFL Underdog Picks For Week 13

Houston Texans at +4.5 points is our favorite Underdog pick for Week 13. You have to love this defense after what they did to Buffalo last week. Houston ranks first in most major defensive categories which is impressive.

In fact, this really is a championship caliber defense that could take the Texans deep into the postseason if they can make the Playoffs. Right now, it’s a battle for the three Wild Card spots.

With that said, going over the key number of 4 gives us several popular outcomes of 17-13, 24-20, and 28-24, etc. And, yet, I think there’s a chance Houston can win this game outright.