UFC Vegas 113 Odds, Predictions and Fight Card

The UFC returns to its Fight Night format for the first time in 2026, and on Paramount+. UFC Fight Night 266, also known as UFC Vegas 113 or UFC Fight Night Bautista vs. Oliveira, will come to us live from UFC’s APEX and it’s definitely one event that you don’t want to sleep on.

The UFC is coming off two banger shows with UFC 324 and UFC 325. Neither event disappointed as there was action from beginning to end. I expect UFC Vegas 113 to follow that format this weekend, even if it’s to a lesser extent.

It will be interesting to see how the first Fight Night event goes in the new Paramount+ era. Last week, we saw over $400,000 in fight bonuses due to some exciting finishes. Will we get something similar at UFC Vegas 113?

In total, there are 13 bouts scheduled for UFC Vegas 113/UFC Fight Night 266. Let’s take a look at the latest UFC odds for UFC Vegas 113 and make our UFC Picks for UFC Fight Night 266.

Where To Watch UFC Fight Night 266?

UFC Fight Night 266 can be seen live on Paramount+ with one of the platform’s two regular monthly subscriptions.

What Time Does UFC Fight Night 266?

The UFC Fight Night 266 Preliminary Card will have a 5pm ET start time. The Main Card is set to begin at 8pm ET.

Where Is UFC Fight Night 266?

UFC Fight Night 266 will be live from the promotion’s Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.

UFC Fight Night 266 Main Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC Fight Night 266 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

For UFC Fight Night 266, we have six main card fights with a wide range of betting lines. Three of the bouts have large odds-on favorites, while the other three have fare to low disparity between the moneylines.

Over the first two UFC events in 2026, our record is 8-2 on the Main Card. Let’s see if we can continue this momentum into the year’s first Fight Night show.

Keep reading to see how our UFC Fight Night 266 predictions unfold for the Main Card. And, make sure to compare our UFC picks with the top handicappers in this space.

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UFC Fight Night 266 Predictions For The Main Card

The UFC Fight Night 266 Main Card has an 8pm ET start time and will stream live on Paramount+.

Mario Bautista (-200) vs. Vinicius Oliveira (+150)

• Total: Over (+122)/Under 4.5 (-140) Rounds
• Division: Bantamweight

The main event brings an established contender Mario Bautista (16-3) against a rising prospect in Vinicius Oliveira (23-3). This matchup will take place over a five-round bantamweight showcase where two fighters are ranked in the Top 11 for the division.

Bautista (no.9) enters as the clear favorite, which reflects his overall consistency, durability, and elite-level experience. He has faced top competition like Aldo, Simon and Mix, while proving more than capable of winning in multiple ways.

Oliveira (no. 11) brings explosiveness and finishing ability, but much of his success has come against less proven opponents especially in regional promotions. While he owns legitimate knockout power, he has yet to demonstrate that inside the octagon. He also appears outgunned versus a high-pressure wrestler-striker like Bautista.

Bautista is 4-1 in his last five fights as he lost to Umar Nurmagomedov last October. However, his ability to mix takedowns, clinch work, and high-volume striking should allow him to gradually wear Oliveira down. Over five rounds, cardio, pace, and composure become difference makers. And, these are areas where Bautista has the edge.

I think this bout is going the distance, but the smart play is to ride the moneylines instead of the Total or prop bets.

Bet: Mario Bautista (-200)

Kyoji Horiguchi (-325) vs. Amir Albazi (+265)

• Total: Over (-230)/Under (+190) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Flyweight

The co-main event of the night is a Top 8 flyweight battle is no.6 Amir Albazi (17-2) takes on no.8 Kyoji Horiguchi (35-5).

Horiguchi returned to the UFC last November after a lengthy run in Rizin FF and Bellator. He scored a submission win in his return fight and is a large favorite in this bout. He’s won six bouts in a row, over multiple promotions and has elite skills in counterpunching and footwork.

Albazi hasn’t competed since November 2024, and lost that fight to Brandon Moreno. It’s expected that he will lean on his ground game where Albazi will have the advantage in grappling and submissions.

I expect Horiguchi to approach this bout with his usual tactical caution, range, and calculated striking. This will also nullify Albazi’s takedown attempts. In the end, Horiguchi’s striking and footwork will be too much for Albazi to handle. I’m avoiding the Total as this matchup has a style that could produce a stoppage.

Bet: Kyoji Horiguchi (-325)

Jailton Almeida (-145) vs. Rizvan Kuniev (+125)

• Total: Over (-135)/Under (+115) 1.5 Rounds
• Division: Heavyweight

The no.6 Jailton Almeida (22-4) will take on Rizvan Kuniev (12-3-1) in the only heavyweight fight of the night.

Almeida is 2-2 in his last four fights, coming off a loss to Volkov last October via split decision. Kuniev also suffered a split decision loss in his last fight, which came in July against Curtis Blaydes.

This bout pits the wrestler Almeida against a preferred striker in Kuniev. However, his striking skills aren’t vast enough to create a worry for Almeida. With that said, I don’t see this becoming a striking battle. Instead, look for Almeida to find the takedown and grapple his way to a submission or ride it out for a decision win.

Considering both men went the distance in their last fights, and Kuniev has never been stopped, a decision result is not off the table. Yet, it’s safer to go with the moneylines in this fight. Almeida seems underpriced and poised for a solid showing.

Bet: Jailton Almeida (-145)

Michal Oleksiejczuk (-500) vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (+245)

• Total: Over (+145)/Under (-165) 1.5 Rounds
• Division: Middleweight

This middleweight clash features the largest odds-on favorite in Michal Oleksiejczuk. It also pits two fighters that need a win to justify their spot on the UFC roster. Oleksiejczuk (21-9) has won two in a row, after dropping three in a row. While he’s regrouped to a point, Oleksiejczuk remains a mid-tier fighter with limited upside.

Marc-Andre Barriault (17-10) came to the UFC with a lot of buzz. Unfortunately, that died out relatively quickly. Barriault has dropped four of this last five bouts. While he remains competitive and has the striking chops to win a fight, Barriault is seen more as a stepping stone for his opponents than anything else.

With that said, Oleksiejczuk has shown improvement over the last year. I see that momentum carrying over into this bout. Barriault has dropped two of his last four losses via 1^st round KO. This bout will either end via the scorecards or in the opening frame. It’s up to you to decide which one. I’m skipping the Total and going with Oleksiejczuk to win this bout.

Bet: Michal Oleksiejczuk (-500)

Farid Basharat (-275) vs. Jean Matsumoto (+235)

• Total: Over (-400)/Under (+310) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Bantamweight

The undefeated Farid Basharat (14-0) has gone 5-0 inside the octagon and has shown a consistent theme in his fights: movement, awareness and high IQ. These attributes should serve him well against the dangerous prospect Jean Matsumoto (17-1).

Matsumoto is 3-1 in the UFC with a split decision loss to Rob Font as the only blemish of his career. He last fought in August 2025, and beat Miles John via split decision.

I like for this bout to go the distance, so take the Over 2.5 rounds in this matchup. Basharat has gone the distance in five of his last six bouts, including three in a row. Half of Matsumoto’s pro fights have gone the distance, including three in a row.

As for the winner, I am taking Basharat as he’s the more disciplined fighter of the two and has the ability to win this bout inside the distance if his opponent makes a mistake.

Bet: Farid Basharat (-275), Over 2.5 rounds (-400)

Dustin Jacoby (-180) vs. Julius Walker (+155)

• Total: Over (-105)/Under (-115) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Light Heavyweight

Julius Walker (7-1) has split his two UFC fights. He lost his debut in Feb. 2025, via split decision to Alonzo Menifield. Then, he followed that up with a decision win over Cerqueira last August. Walker has shown the ability to win upright or on the mat. However, he has yet to show this against cagy veterans like Dustin Jacoby.

Jacoby (21-9) has won two bouts in a row, after dropping four of five fights. He’s not a threat to challenge for the belt anytime soon, but he does have the experience advantage in this contest.

Additionally, Jacoby can fight at range with kicks and punches. Walker feels more like a fighter trying to land the final power shot. I like Jacoby’s arsenal of strikes over Walker’s youthful aggression. Jacoby wins this fight, but it’s too close to call for the distance. I lean towards a decision for Jacoby.

Bet: Dustin Jacoby (-180)

UFC Fight Night 266 Preliminary Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC Fight Night 266 odds for the Preliminary Card:

Unlike the main card, the UFC Fight Night 266 preliminary card features numerous bouts close in odds and on paper. This definitely presents more of a challenge when picking winners and other wagers like Totals.  

Let’s see if we can continue with our recent streak of success picking UFC Prelim fights.

UFC Fight Night 266 Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The UFC Fight Night 266 preliminary card will begin at 5pm ET and stream live on Paramount+.

Daniil Donchenko (-300) vs. Alex Morono (+203)

• Total: Over (-105)/Under (-120) 1.5 Rounds
• Division: Welterweight

Daniil Donchenko (12-2) enters this matchup as a sizable favorite, reflecting his physical advantages, grappling skills, and five-fight winning streak.

Donchenko’s pressure-heavy style and ability to dictate where the fight takes goes, makes him a difficult matchup for opponents. He looked great in his UFC debut last September, by defeating Sezinando via 1^st round TKO.

Alex Morono (24-12) is one of the most experienced fighters on the prelim card and remains a tough out due to his veteran caginess, durability, and boxing skill set.

Unfortunately, he lacks the athleticism and defensive prowess to beat anyone in the Top 20 for this weight class. Morono has dropped four of his last five bouts, including three in a row.

In fact, I see this matchup being a tough one for Morono as Donchenko is the better athlete and 11 years younger. He’s faster, stronger, and has more paths to victory in this contest.

I’m going to give Morono the benefit of the doubt by saying he can last the full three rounds. But I don’t see him winning. Donchenko will win via unanimous decision, if he doesn’t find the stoppage first. Either way, I like that Over 1.5 rounds, as well.

Bet: Daniil Donchenko (-300), Over 1.5 rounds (+105)

Nikolay Vertennikov (-225) vs. Niko Price (+190)

• Total: Over (-175)/Under (+150) 1.5 Rounds
• Division: Welterweight

There was a time where Niko Price (16-9) was a lot of fun to watch. And, while he still possesses knockout power, his days as a must-watch fighter are over with. Price has dropped four of his last five bouts, including two in a row. He last fought in June 2025, and lost via 2^nd round submission to Jacobe Smith.

Nikolay Vertennikov (13-7) doesn’t have a more impressive resume than Price does. He’s gone 1-3 in his four UFC bouts. His lone win came via split decision over Francisco Prado.

Price is still capable of producing highlight-reel finishes every time he steps inside the octagon. Unfortunately, he’s to erratic and wild to rely on. Vertennikov is more disciplined, won’t engage in crazy fire fights, can strike from a distance, and has enough counter punching to take rounds on points.

Vertennikov should win this fight. Avoid the Total because Price’s wild striking is too unreliable to bet on.

Bet: Nikolay Vertennikov (-225)

Ketlen Souza (-150) vs. Bruna Brasil (+130)

• Total: Over (-350)/Under (+280) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Women’s Strawweight

This women’s strawweight bout pits two fighters looking to make a run towards the Top 15 in the division.

Ketlen Souza (15-6) has dropped her last two fights via split decision. They’ve come against opponents who appear to be better overall fighters compared to Brasil. Souza likes to be physical in her bouts and try to keep things close and in the clinch when possible.

Bruna Brasil (11-5-1) is also 2-3 inside the octagon just like Souza. She won via decision in her last outing which came in August 2025, against Ming Shi. Yet, she lost to Cong Wang six months prior.

Neither woman instills confidence. The one bet that I like the most is for this bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-350) and the distance (-325). Souza has gone the distance in 7 of 21 fights, including six of her last eight bouts. Brasil has gone the distance in nine of 16 fights, including five in a row.

Take Souza to win this fight on the scorecards as she pressures Brasil and controls the fight with her physicality.

Bet: Ketlen Souza (-150)

Javid Basharat (-130) vs. Said Nurmagomedov (+110)

• Total: Over (-290)/Under (+230) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Bantamweight

This is the closest fight on the card with Javid Basharat (14-2) taking on Said Nurmagomedov (18-5) in a bantamweight battle. Both men come in on losing streaks and are desperate for a win to stop the proverbial bleeding.

Additionally, both fighters have the ability to win this fight with ease, if they execute to their full potential and capitalize on the other’s mistakes.

Nurmagomedov will try to find a submission hold to finish off this fight, while Basharat’s striking should provide enough danger for Said to not get overly eager for takedowns or closing the gap.

With that said, I am leaning towards Basharat to win via decision due to his striking. 13 of Nurmagomedov’s 21 fights have gone the distance. Four of Basharat’s five UFC bouts have gone to a decision. Take the Over on this one, as well.

Bet: Javid Basharat (-130)

Cong Wang (-350) vs. Eduarda Moura (+285)

• Total: Over (-185)/Under (+160) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Women’s Flyweight

Cong “The Joker” Wang is 8-1 overall and 4-1 under the UFC umbrella. She has won two fights in a row, both via decision. One year ago, she beat Bruna Brasil via decision.

Eduarda Moura is 12-1 overall, 3-1 inside the octagon, and is on a two-fight winning streak. She also won both bouts via decision.

With that said, Wang is one of the biggest betting favorites for the entire event. Her footwork is superior to Moura’s, where the latter will end up eating far too many strikes as she tries to push forward.

The Joker has a solid arsenal of technical strikes with punches and kick. She’s a crisper striker who will win this fight via decision. Take the Over, as well.

Bet: Cong Wang (-350), Over 2.5 rounds (-185)

Muin Gafurov (-150) vs. Jakub Wikłacz (+130)

• Total: Over (-135)/Under (+115) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Bantamweight

Both bantamweights enter this bout with lengthy experience on their resumes. Muin Gafurov (20-6) has won two fights in a row after dropping two contests. He defeated Rinya Nakamura in his last bout, which came in January 2025. Three of his last four bouts have gone the distance.

Jakub Wikłacz (17-3-2) is unbeaten in his last eight bouts, posting a 7-0-1 record. He made his UFC debut last October, and beat Patrick Mix via split decision.

Both men lie to grapple and have shown proficient skills in this area. So, this bout is closer to Even than what the oddsmakers have it as. And, while I think the underdog is a real threat to win, I have to lean towards Gafurov to outlast, outwrestle, and outgrapple Wiklacz in this matchup.

Bet: Muin Gafurov (-150)

Klaudia Sygula (-150) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+133)

• Total: Over (-115)/Under (-105) 2.5 Rounds
• Division: Women’s Bantamweight

There was a time when Priscila Cachoeira (13-7), but that was squelched when she dropped her first three bouts in the UFC. At 5-7 inside the octagon, Cachoeira is nothing more than a stepping stone for other fighters to get closer to the Top 15 rankings. She’s lost three of her last four bouts. All of them have come via stoppage.

Klaudia Sygula (7-2) is 1-1 inside the octagon. She lost her debut in November 2024, via 2^nd round TKO to Melissa Mullins. Sygula bounced back in June 2025, with a decision win over Irina Alekseeva.

While Cachoeira still excites the fans due to her aggressiveness and striking power, Sygula is the better grappler and has a more well-rounded skillset. I expect Sygula to mix in some takedowns, use top control when possible, and to outwork Cachoeira in this contest.

I’m avoiding the Total for this bout due to Cachoeira’s recent streak of losing inside the distance. Yet, I lean towards Sygula winning via decision.

Bet: Klaudia Sygula (-150)

The Best UFC Fight Night Picks

The following is our best UFC picks for this weekend’s event:

• Kyoji Horiguchi (-325)
• Farid Basharat (-275)
• Daniil Donchenko (-300)

Farid Basharat remains undefeated in his career and has posted a 5-0 record in the UFC. He has the advantage in most areas against Matsumoto and I expect Basharat to keep that “0” on his fight record for the near future.

Kyoji Horiguchi is taking on Anur Albazi who hasn’t been as active in recent years. Horiguchi has a ton of experience against well-respected fighters spanning multiple promotions. His technical striking should be the difference.

I have a hard time seeing Alex Morono winning his fight against a solid prospect like Daniil Donchenko. The latter has the overall skillset to outwork and outlast Morono, if not stopping him outright.

If you place all of these best UFC Fight Night 266 picks into a parlay, then you will earn $138 for every $100 wagered. Not bad for taking sizable favorites and stacking them into a three-leg parlay. Check out our best NFL parlays of the week for more multi-leg wagers.

UFC Fight Night 266 Card

Check out the updated UFC Fight Night 266 fight card: