Week 11 in the NFL was forgettable as far as my top 10 best bets for Scores&Stats. Straight-up upsets and low-scoring led to seven losing plays. This was by far the toughest week of the NFL season and only the second one to yield a losing mark.
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Sometimes the most profitable winning streak are forged on the heels of a losing one. I am banking on a big turnaround this Sunday with the following 10 plays.
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings Picks: Carolina +4½
Carolina was able to snap a SU five-game losing streak last Sunday with a solid effort against Detroit. The Vikings came up flat against Dallas to end a three-game run SU and against the spread. Take the Panthers and the points.
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars Picks: Jacksonville +6½
The Browns have made an art out of winning ugly. They covered for the first time in six weeks against Philadelphia. Jacksonville only has one SU win this season but it has covered in two of its last three games.
Las Vegas Raiders at Atlanta Falcons Picks: OVER 55½
Win or lose, the Raiders’ offense has scored 30 points or more in each of its last three games. Atlanta should have some success putting points on the board this Sunday. Matt Ryan tends to play much better at home than on the road.
Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills Picks: Buffalo -5½
Going against the Chargers against the New York Jets was one of the bright spots in last week’s picks. They have failed to cover in their last four games. The Bills tend to bounce back rather well following a loss, especially at home.
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Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Picks: Miami -7
The Dolphins were tripped up on the road against Denver to snap a five-game winning streak both SU and ATS. Part of that streak included a 24-0 shutout against the Jets. I do not see New York keeping the rematch closer than a touchdown.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Picks: OVER 51
Each of these AFC South foes are coming off a big upset win last Sunday. The Titans scored 30 points on the road against Baltimore. The Colts outlasted Green Bay 34-31 in overtime. These two teams combined for 51 points just two weeks ago.
New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos Picks: Denver +6
Winning at home against Atlanta with Taysom Hill at quarterback is one thing. Going on the road against a decent Denver defense suddenly becomes a tough test. Saints may win SU but the Broncos make them work for the W.
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San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams Picks: San Francisco +7½
The extra half point in the 49ers’ favor could be the difference in this one. The Rams are playing on a short week following Monday’s big win over Tampa Bay. This could set the stage for a bit of a letdown against a NFC West rival.
Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks: OVER 54
Kansas City should score at least 30 points in this game after averaging 34.4 points during the current five-game winning streak. Tampa Bay has average 32.8 points in four of five previous home games this year.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Picks: Green Bay -8½
Chicago starts its two-game season series against the Packers in the midst of a four game losing streak (1-3 ATS). Green Bay needs to bounce back fast following the stunning overtime loss to Indianapolis. The Packers have won 10 of their last 12 home games SU against the Bears.
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