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Cal Poly Mustangs

College Basketball

A 14-19 Cal Poly side returned 10.92 units to anyone who backed the Mustangs in all 30 priced games of 2025-26; 16 Division I teams did better. On their travels the figure was 10.52 in 16.

Fourteen wins, 10.92 units

Cal Poly were underdogs in 26 games, more than all but 23 Division I teams, and the 26 underdog moneylines made 10.49 units. They won nine of them, three at long odds on the road: 92-85 at Utah at +800 on 20 November, 86-75 at Hawai’i at +550 on 19 February and 73-71 at Seattle U at +425.

One unit on the Mustangs to win, every game0+5+10+10.92 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the road the 16 priced games made 10.52 units, a total only 12 teams in the country beat. Home was 2.4 units up over 12.

The Mustangs at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 7 of 12 (58.3%)Away (17)won 6 (35.3%)covered 9 of 17 (52.9%)Favorite (5)won 3 (60.0%)covered 3 of 5 (60.0%)Underdog (26)won 9 (34.6%)covered 14 of 26 (53.8%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Two months made it

November (4-5) returned 8.25 units and February (4-3, five covers in seven) 6.55. December gave some back: 1-4, 3.05 units down.

Against the spread

Seventeen covers in 31, 54.8%, 14 of them as underdogs from 26 chances. Favored only five times, they won three.

The Mustangs 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at USC Trojans 64-942025-11-05 v Pacific Lutheran Lutes 101-792025-11-08 at Seattle U Redhawks 73-712025-11-12 at Colorado State Rams 79-932025-11-14 at Montana Grizzlies 82-902025-11-20 at Utah Utes 92-852025-11-24 at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 87-932025-11-25 v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 68-842025-11-29 v Redlands Bulldogs 87-812025-12-04 at Cal State Fullerton Titans 94-912025-12-06 v UC Riverside Highlanders 84-882025-12-16 v Montana State Bobcats 80-832025-12-19 at UCLA Bruins 87-1082025-12-21 v Idaho Vandals 80-832026-01-01 v UC San Diego Tritons 67-652026-01-03 at Long Beach State Beach 66-742026-01-08 at Cal State Northridge Matadors 90-952026-01-10 v UC Davis Aggies 84-782026-01-15 v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 66-862026-01-22 at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 67-1072026-01-24 v Cal State Fullerton Titans 78-932026-01-29 at Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 104-792026-01-31 at UC Riverside Highlanders 94-872026-02-05 v Cal State Northridge Matadors 96-972026-02-07 at UC Davis Aggies 58-672026-02-12 v UC Irvine Anteaters 79-732026-02-14 v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 89-792026-02-19 at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 86-752026-02-26 v Long Beach State Beach 102-922026-02-28 at UC San Diego Tritons 64-802026-03-05 at UC Irvine Anteaters 85-1072026-03-07 v Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 108-762026-03-11 v UC San Diego Tritons 69-72Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
14-19 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

High-scoring games

The Mustangs scored 82.12 a game and allowed 85.0; just four Division I teams gave up more. Even so the total split 17 overs to 13 unders, short of a lean.

Conference repeats

Cal State Bakersfield lost both meetings and Cal Poly covered both. Cal State Northridge won both, though Cal Poly covered each time. UC San Diego, met three times, won two, the last in the Big West first round.

Questions and answers

Is Cal Poly a good underdog bet?

On 2025-26, yes: 26 underdog moneylines made 10.49 units, with wins at +800, +550 and +425.

Should we back the Mustangs away from home?

Six wins and 11 defeats, yet the 16 priced away moneylines came to 10.52 units, a total bettered by a dozen schools.

Do Cal Poly games go over?

Slightly: 17 overs and 13 unders in 30.

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