Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

The Rainbow Warriors won 16 of 19 home games in 2025-26 and covered only 6 of the 15 that carried a spread. Our Hawaii predictions are above; the gap between winning and covering is below.

Home wins, home spreads

Hawai’i finished 24-8. At home the record was 16-3, yet the cover count was 6 in 15 lined games, a rate 75 Division I teams fell below and 277 beat. Two of the three home losses came as heavy favorites: 75-86 to Cal Poly at -800 and 75-84 to Long Beach State at -1350, six days before the Big West tournament.

Three home games in December carried no line at all, two of them against Big West opponents.

Favored nearly every time

Hawai’i was favored 24 times, won 19 and covered 11. Of its four games as an underdog, the first was the season opener, 59-60 at Oregon getting 11.5, a cover. The moneyline on those 23 priced favorite games finished 0.48 units down; across all 27 priced games, 2.48 down. February went 5-2 straight up but covered only twice in seven.

Big West opponents and March

UC Irvine was met three times. Hawai’i won 67-66 at home laying 4.5, lost 76-87 away, and won the Big West final 71-64 at even money, its only priced win as an underdog. Cal State Fullerton lost all three meetings, including the semifinal 63-78. Arkansas ended the season in the NCAA tournament’s first round.

The total

Fifteen unders and 13 overs in 28 priced games. Hawai’i scored 79.62 a game and allowed 69.72; only 66 teams allowed fewer.

Questions and answers