Long Beach St Beach

The Beach won only three of 23 games as underdogs in 2025-26 and covered the spread in 14 of them. Twenty of their 30 lined games went over the total, a rate ten Division I teams beat.

Losing by less than the number

Long Beach State went 10-22. As underdogs they were 3-20. Against the spread those same 23 games went 14-9, 60.9%.

The tell is the close loss. They lost 69-66 at Pacific getting 12.5, 82-80 to Illinois State getting 8.5, 77-74 at UC San Diego getting 10.5. Losses, every one of them, and covers.

Favored, it flipped: five wins in seven, two covers. Venue barely moved the spread record, 8-6 at home and 8-8 on the road.

The over

Twenty of 30 lined games went over, 66.7%, including nine in a row from 16 November to 21 December, ten at home in 14 and ten away in 16. Only ten teams in Division I went over more often, and one equalled it. The Beach allowed 77.78 a game while scoring 74.88.

The moneyline, and one night in Hawai’i

Backing the Beach to win in every priced game lost 8.08 units over 28. At home the bet lost 6.94 over 13; only 13 teams lost more at home. February was 1-6, 5.38 units gone, three of the six losses by four points or fewer.

The season’s final game paid more than any other. On 7 March they won 84-75 at Hawai’i at +800, getting 14.5. That single result made March 7.0 units up.

Big West opponents

Cal State Fullerton, UC Davis and UC Irvine all won both meetings; Irvine covered one and the other two covered both. UC San Diego and UC Santa Barbara did too, but Long Beach covered all four of those games. Cal State Northridge split, and the Beach covered both, the win 87-80 on the road at +225.

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