Arkansas St Red Wolves

The Red Wolves were favored 24 times in 2025-26 and won 15, yet the 23 priced favorite games lost 3.86 units; 30 Division I teams did worse in that role. Three home defeats at -410 or shorter account for three of those units.

Favorites that lost

Arkansas State lost 74-78 to James Madison at -535 on 3 January, 71-75 to Old Dominion at -575 on 28 January and 88-92 to South Alabama at -410 on 14 February, all at home. As favorites overall they covered 11 of 24 spreads.

The underdog side barely existed: five games, a figure only 25 Division I teams came in under, with two wins at Ohio (+145) and Missouri State (+110) in the first two weeks.

January

After a 5-1 December with four covers in five lined games, January was the worst month: 3-6, two covers in nine, 4.51 units lost, including the James Madison and Old Dominion defeats and a 99-74 loss at Troy. February answered with 7-1 straight up, four covers in eight.

Scoring and the total

Arkansas State scored 82.97 a game; 36 Division I teams scored more. The total split 15 and 15 overall, but by venue it did not: on the road only 6 of 16 went under, at home 8 of 13.

Opponents

South Alabama beat Arkansas State in both meetings, with no Arkansas State covers. The Red Wolves beat UL Monroe twice and Louisiana twice, covering both against Louisiana. Georgia Southern split two, winning 80-77 in the Sun Belt tournament with Arkansas State at -355, the last game of its season.

At home the Red Wolves went 11-4 and covered 6 of 12; away they went 9-7 and covered 8 of 16, with the 16 road moneylines down only 1.28. Over the full season: 20-12, 14 covers in 29, and 4.31 units lost on 28 priced games.

Questions and answers