Fairfield Stags

Fairfield’s Stags lost only four times at home in 2025-26, yet beat the home spread just 5 times in 15, a rate forty programs fell below. Fairfield was a better spread bet away and as an underdog.

Home wins, home misses

Several home wins came by less than the number. Niagara lost 62-61 with Fairfield a 10.5-point favorite, Canisius 61-55 at the same price, Rider 68-62 at -8.5, and New Hampshire 72-68 at -9.5. Two November home wins had gone the same way: Stonehill 73-71 at -6.5 and Loyola Maryland 85-82 at -5.5. Straight up the home moneyline still made 2.03 units over 13 priced games.

As favorites overall Fairfield went 12-4 and covered 6 of 16. As underdogs they won 8 of 17, covered 9 and made 2.93 units, the best of it 85-79 at Quinnipiac at +250 and 84-70 at Central Connecticut at +205. Away from Fairfield the spread record was 8-7, with a 7-8 record straight up returning 0.36 units.

January and February

January went 6-3 straight up but 3-6 against the spread, the Niagara and Canisius games among the misses. February was the turn: 5-2, 5 covers in 7 and 3.4 units, including underdog wins at Sacred Heart, over Marist and over Siena. Those 3.4 units were more than the season’s whole moneyline profit of 3.01 over 31 priced games. The worst single result came earlier, an 85-81 loss at Canisius at -278.

The MAAC tournament

Fairfield beat Manhattan 71-60 and Saint Peter’s 74-55 at +114, covering both, then lost the semifinal to Siena, 76-61. Siena and Saint Peter’s each took two of three meetings over the season.

The total

Nineteen unders and 14 overs in the 33 games with a total; 78 Division I teams went under more often. All three MAAC tournament games stayed under.

Questions and answers