Saint Francis Red Wolves

The Red Wolves covered 12 of their 26 underdog spreads in 2025-26 but won only three of those games outright. Nine of those 12 covers were defeats, and the 25 priced underdog moneylines lost 15.45 units.

Watch the margin, not the result

Nine times as underdogs, Saint Francis lost the game and still covered. LIU won 91-89 at Saint Francis on 19 February with the Red Wolves getting 9.5; Le Moyne won 86-84 on 7 February against a 7.5-point spread. Both covered, both lost. Across 26 underdog games that came to 12 covers, 46.2%, against a 3-23 record.

Why the moneyline sank

The three underdog wins paid well: 71-69 at Wagner at +285 on 8 January, 85-82 over Fairleigh Dickinson at +110 on 4 January, and 73-67 at New Haven at +260 on 24 February. They were not enough. The 25 priced underdog games lost 15.45 units, and only five Division I teams lost more backing the underdog side. Over all 28 priced games, 15.06 units went; 11 teams did worse.

January was the month

January went 4-4 with five covers in eight and made 1.34 units, the only month in profit. November (1-6, 6.0 units down) and February (1-9, 6.4 down) were where the season was lost. February still covered five of ten.

The defense and the total

Saint Francis allowed 80.97 points a game; 24 Division I teams allowed more, and one allowed the same. The total split almost evenly, 15 overs and 14 unders.

The NEC

New Haven and Wagner each split two games and each paid: 1.6 and 1.85 units. Mercyhurst won both meetings and Saint Francis covered neither.

Questions and answers