Louisville Cardinals

The Cardinals covered only three of their eleven road spreads in 2025-26; nine Division I teams did worse away and two matched it. At home Louisville went 15-2.

Two different teams

In their own building the Cardinals lost twice, to Duke 84-73 and Virginia 79-70, and covered 8 of 16 home spreads. On the road they were 4-7 and covered 3 of 11, at California, at Pittsburgh and at Miami. A unit on Louisville in every road game lost 5.16; in 12 priced home games the loss was only 0.81.

The moneyline

Five November games had no price posted. Over the other 28, a unit on Louisville every time lost 5.59. As favorites they won 21 of 28 and still lost 3.64 units, because the defeats came at short prices, among them at Stanford 80-76 at -360, Virginia at -218, at SMU 95-85 at -192. As underdogs they were 1-3, the one win at Miami, 92-89 at +105.

January and February

The season was 7-0 in November. January and February went 9-7 straight up, 4-12 against the number and 5.6 units down. Five of those twelve misses came in games Louisville won, including a 75-62 home win over Boston College as 21.5-point favorites.

Opponents

Duke beat Louisville twice, the second time 83-52 away, and the Cardinals covered neither. SMU was met three times: two Louisville wins, one cover. Miami split the pair, the second meeting ending the ACC tournament run, 78-73. In the NCAA tournament Louisville beat South Florida 83-79 and lost 77-69 to Michigan State.

The total

Twenty unders and 13 overs; 49 Division I teams went under more often. Louisville scored 84.76 a game; 19 teams scored more. The highest total they were set, 174.5 against Ohio, went over in a 106-81 win.

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