SMU Mustangs

The Mustangs won 15 of 18 at home in 2025-26 and three of 11 on the road, and the road spreads went the same way: four covers in 11. They opened 8-0, then went 12-13.

A team that travelled badly

Away from Dallas, SMU covered 4 of 11, 36.4%; only 45 Division I teams did worse on the road. One unit on the Mustangs in each of their ten priced road games lost 6.59 units, while the same bet at home finished 0.52 units up. Late February made the point: a 73-69 loss at California as 4.5-point favorites and a 95-75 loss at Stanford laying 1.5, back to back on one road trip.

The 8-0 start and the rest

November was eight wins in eight, but the first two were priced at -7500, against Tarleton State and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, and neither covered. The month returned 0.47 units on the moneyline. From December on SMU went 12-13, and the season closed with four straight losses, none of them covered, before the conference tournament.

Overall the Mustangs covered 15 of 32, 46.9%: 8 of 19 as favorites, 7 of 13 as underdogs. The home wins did not translate into home covers either, 8 of 17. December’s best result came on a neutral floor, 93-80 over Texas A&M at +105, one of only two plus-money wins all season.

Points and the over

SMU scored 84.21 points a game; only 22 Division I teams scored more. Eighteen of 32 totals went over, 56.2%, with 72 teams going over more often.

Louisville three times

Louisville was the one opponent met three times: two Louisville wins, two SMU covers. The SMU win was the best price it cashed all season, 95-85 at home at +160; the last meeting was a 62-58 conference tournament loss, covered as 7.5-point underdogs. The season ended in the First Four, 89-79 to Miami (OH).

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