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Clemson Tigers

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Clemson covered seven of eight games in January 2026 and three of the twelve that followed, which is how the Tigers finished exactly 17-17 against the spread. Our Clemson predictions are above; the turn is below.

Seventeen and seventeen, in two pieces

Over 34 games Clemson went 24-10 and covered 17 times. The even split hides the shape. From a 64-61 win at Syracuse on 31 December to the end of January, the Tigers won nine of ten and covered nine. February and March together brought 3 covers in 12. At home the Tigers won 13 of 16 and covered 8.

The Tigers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v New Hampshire Wildcats 88-382025-11-07 v Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 97-592025-11-11 v Morehead State Eagles 83-562025-11-15 at Georgetown Hoyas 74-792025-11-17 v North Alabama Lions 81-612025-11-21 v West Virginia Mountaineers 70-672025-11-23 v Georgia Bulldogs 97-942025-11-28 v Alabama A&M Bulldogs 92-562025-12-03 at Alabama Crimson Tide 84-902025-12-09 v BYU Cougars 64-672025-12-13 v Mercer Bears 70-632025-12-16 v South Carolina Gamecocks 68-612025-12-21 v Cincinnati Bearcats 68-652025-12-31 at Syracuse Orange 64-612026-01-03 at Pittsburgh Panthers 73-682026-01-07 v SMU Mustangs 74-702026-01-10 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 76-612026-01-13 v Boston College Eagles 74-502026-01-17 v Miami Hurricanes 69-592026-01-20 v NC State Wolfpack 76-802026-01-24 at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 77-632026-01-31 v Pittsburgh Panthers 63-522026-02-04 at Stanford Cardinal 66-642026-02-07 at California Golden Bears 77-552026-02-11 v Virginia Tech Hokies 66-762026-02-14 at Duke Blue Devils 54-672026-02-18 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons 77-852026-02-21 v Florida State Seminoles 65-702026-02-28 v Louisville Cardinals 80-752026-03-03 at North Carolina Tar Heels 63-672026-03-07 v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 79-762026-03-11 v Wake Forest Demon Deacons 71-622026-03-12 v North Carolina Tar Heels 80-792026-03-13 v Duke Blue Devils 61-73Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
24-10 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

February held three losses as clear favorites, two of them at home: 66-76 to Virginia Tech at -410, 65-70 to Florida State at -440, and 77-85 at Wake Forest at -218 in between.

The moneyline as favorite

Clemson was favored 28 times and won 23. One unit on each of the 27 priced favorite games made 2.68; only 30 Division I teams made more backing themselves as favorites. As an underdog the record was 1-5 and the moneyline lost 3.8, so the season total was 1.12 units down over 33 priced games.

One unit on the Tigers to win, every game0-1+1+2-1.12 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 33 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Duke, twice

Duke was the one opponent Clemson could neither beat nor cover: 54-67 in February getting 12.5, and 61-73 in the ACC tournament semifinal getting 10.5. Pittsburgh went the other way, two Clemson wins and two covers. Iowa beat Clemson in the NCAA tournament’s opening round.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 13 (81.2%)covered 8 of 16 (50.0%)Away (11)won 6 (54.5%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Favorite (28)won 23 (82.1%)covered 14 of 28 (50.0%)Underdog (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Clemson and the total

Twenty of 34 games went under; 60 teams had a higher under rate and four the same. Clemson allowed 66.74 points a game, and only 27 teams allowed fewer.

Questions and answers

How did Clemson do against the spread in 2025-26?

17 covers and 17 misses: 7-1 in January, 3-9 across February and March.

Is Clemson worth backing as a favorite?

On the 2025-26 moneyline, yes: 27 priced games as favorite made 2.68 units, a total 30 Division I teams beat.

Do Clemson games go under?

Twenty of 34 did in 2025-26, with Clemson allowing 66.74 points a game.

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