Florida State Seminoles

The Seminoles covered the spread in 20 of 32 games in 2025-26, a rate just 20 Division I teams beat. Their road moneylines made 7.26 units; their home moneylines lost 3.79.

Against the number

Florida State went 18-15 straight up and 20-12 against the spread, 62.5%. The covers were even across every split: 11 of 17 at home, 7 of 11 away, 10 of 16 as favorites and 10 of 16 as underdogs.

The road paid

On the road the Seminoles went 6-5, four of those wins as underdogs: Miami 65-63 at +500, Clemson 70-65 at +340, Virginia Tech 92-69 at +164 and Notre Dame 82-79 at +100. The 11 priced road games returned 7.26 units; only 19 teams did better away.

Home was the leak. The 16 priced home moneylines lost 3.79 units, even with 11 home covers in 17: Georgia won 107-73 in the Seminoles’ gym with Florida State at -122, and Wake Forest won 69-68 there with the price at -102.

Favorite and underdog

Favored, Florida State went 14-2, and the 15 priced favorite moneylines made 2.17 units; 45 teams did better. As underdogs it won 4 of 16 and still covered 10; four of those ten covers were outright road wins.

December, then February

December was the hole: 2-5, two covers in seven, 4.98 units lost, including a 95-103 neutral-floor loss to Massachusetts at -950. February and March turned it: 8-3 straight up, eight covers in 11, 5.95 units won.

Duke twice

Duke won both meetings, 91-87 on Florida State’s floor and 80-79 in the ACC quarterfinal, and Florida State covered 16.5 points both times. SMU split two, with two Seminole covers.

The total

Seventeen overs and 16 unders across 33 games. With 156 teams over more often, the total is a pass.

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