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College Basketball

Massachusetts Minutemen

College Basketball

The Minutemen covered 4 of 18 spreads as favorites in 2025-26, a rate only 21 Division I teams fell below, and 9 of 14 as underdogs. Their games went over 20 times in 32.

Upside down

Massachusetts were favored in 18 games in 2025-26, won 11 and covered 4. At 22.2%, that laying-points rate beat only 21 Division I sides and tied two. Backing them to win in those 18 games lost 3.67 units, with the worst defeats at Northern Illinois, 68-70 at -395, and at home to Buffalo, 82-86 at -360.

The Minutemen at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 11 (68.8%)covered 5 of 15 (33.3%)Away (10)won 2 (20.0%)covered 4 of 10 (40.0%)Favorite (18)won 11 (61.1%)covered 4 of 18 (22.2%)Underdog (14)won 5 (35.7%)covered 9 of 14 (64.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs the picture reversed: 14 games, 5 wins, 9 covers, and 3.30 units made on the moneyline. The longest price that won was +625, a 103-95 win over Florida State on a neutral floor.

One unit on the Minutemen to win, every game0-2+2+4+6-0.37 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Neutral floors

That win was one of seven neutral-site games, where Massachusetts went 4-3, covered four, and made 8.25 units on one unit a game. On their own floor the same bet lost 2.09 units over 15 games, and on the road, 2-8, it lost 6.53 over 10.

Six straight

After a win over Central Michigan, the Minutemen lost six in a row. February finished 1-6 with one cover in seven and 5.87 units lost. In the MAC tournament they beat Miami (OH) 87-83 at +260 in the quarterfinal before losing to Toledo in the semifinal.

The Minutemen 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Marshall Thundering Herd 72-782025-11-08 v UAlbany Great Danes 83-622025-11-13 v Le Moyne Dolphins 94-802025-11-16 v Central Connecticut Blue Devils 84-772025-11-21 v Charleston Cougars 65-692025-11-22 v Green Bay Phoenix 75-792025-11-24 v Oregon State Beavers 73-652025-12-03 v Harvard Crimson 78-712025-12-06 v UMass Lowell River Hawks 80-602025-12-10 v Boston College Eagles 76-742025-12-13 v Florida State Seminoles 103-952025-12-20 v Kent State Golden Flashes 59-692025-12-22 v UMass Boston Beacons 91-402025-12-30 at Eastern Michigan Eagles 74-802026-01-03 v Bowling Green Falcons 100-1012026-01-06 at Ohio Bobcats 83-862026-01-10 v Ball State Cardinals 79-712026-01-13 at Western Michigan Broncos 85-822026-01-17 at Northern Illinois Huskies 68-702026-01-20 v Toledo Rockets 84-822026-01-23 at Buffalo Bulls 68-672026-01-27 at Miami (OH) RedHawks 84-862026-01-31 v Eastern Michigan Eagles 70-672026-02-03 v Central Michigan Chippewas 95-892026-02-07 at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 91-942026-02-13 at Akron Zips 92-992026-02-17 v Miami (OH) RedHawks 77-862026-02-21 v Buffalo Bulls 82-862026-02-24 at Ball State Cardinals 73-742026-02-28 at Bowling Green Falcons 62-812026-03-03 v Ohio Bobcats 94-822026-03-12 v Miami (OH) RedHawks 87-832026-03-13 v Toledo Rockets 67-77Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-16 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Over the season they went 17-16 and covered 13 of 32, a rate that 45 Division I sides fell short of and four matched. At home, an 11-5 record came with 5 covers in 15; away it was 2-8 and 4 covers in 10.

The total

Twenty overs and 12 unders in 32 games with a total, 62.5%; 24 teams went over more often, two at the same rate. Massachusetts scored 80.24 points a game and allowed 77.64.

Questions and answers

How did Massachusetts do against the spread as a favorite in 2025-26?

4 covers in 18 games, 22.2%, while winning 11 of them.

How often did Massachusetts games go over the total?

In 2025-26, 20 of 32 games with a total went over, 62.5%.

How did Massachusetts do at neutral sites?

4-3 straight up, 4 covers in 7, and 8.25 units won backing them to win.

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