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Ohio Bobcats

College Basketball

Getting points did not help the Bobcats in 2025-26: they covered 4 of 14 games as underdogs, and only ten Division I teams covered less often in that spot. They won two of those 14.

The underdog problem

Ohio was an underdog 14 times and went 2-12 straight up, 4-10 against the spread. The two wins were 88-83 over St. Bonaventure at +215 in Cleveland and 95-83 at Buffalo at +120. The 12 priced underdog moneylines lost 6.65 units.

The Bobcats at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 10 (62.5%)covered 7 of 14 (50.0%)Away (12)won 4 (33.3%)covered 4 of 12 (33.3%)Favorite (16)won 11 (68.8%)covered 8 of 16 (50.0%)Underdog (14)won 2 (14.3%)covered 4 of 14 (28.6%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Only one underdog loss was close. The rest included 69-92 to George Mason, 65-86 to Akron, 74-90 at Miami (OH), 85-101 at Toledo, 75-86 to Kent State in the MAC quarterfinal. The close one, 108-110 at home to Miami (OH) at +160, was a cover, and the 31.5 points at Louisville covered in an 81-106 loss.

As favorites

Favored 16 times, the Bobcats went 11-5 and covered eight, and the 16 favorite moneylines lost 0.68 units. Home losses at -290 to Bethune-Cookman and -170 to Arkansas State both came in November, the Arkansas State one in the season opener. The third home defeat as a favorite came on 28 February, 67-79 to Toledo at -135; the other two favorite losses were on the road, at Ball State and Old Dominion.

One unit on the Bobcats to win, every game0-6-4-2-7.33 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 28 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season

Ohio went 15-17 and covered 12 of 30, 40%; 37 teams covered less often. A blind unit on Ohio across its 28 priced games finished 7.33 units down. December was the bright spot: 6-1, four covers in five, 2.17 units. January went 5-4 with two covers in nine, and March 0-3.

The Bobcats 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Arkansas State Red Wolves 85-892025-11-06 v Illinois State Redbirds 72-682025-11-11 at Saint Mary's Gaels 60-902025-11-15 at Louisville Cardinals 81-1062025-11-19 v Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 73-762025-11-24 v George Mason Patriots 69-922025-11-25 v Loyola Marymount Lions 58-702025-12-03 v Maine Black Bears 79-572025-12-06 v Marshall Thundering Herd 88-812025-12-13 v St. Bonaventure Bonnies 88-832025-12-16 v Ohio Wesleyan Battling Bishops 89-562025-12-20 v Bowling Green Falcons 58-682025-12-22 v Miami (OH) Hamilton Harriers 102-592025-12-30 at Central Michigan Chippewas 80-642026-01-03 at Eastern Michigan Eagles 68-672026-01-06 v Massachusetts Minutemen 86-832026-01-10 v Buffalo Bulls 91-802026-01-13 at Toledo Rockets 85-1012026-01-16 at Ball State Cardinals 71-762026-01-20 v Northern Illinois Huskies 80-772026-01-23 v Akron Zips 65-862026-01-27 at Kent State Golden Flashes 57-722026-01-31 at Buffalo Bulls 95-832026-02-03 v Western Michigan Broncos 91-712026-02-07 at Old Dominion Monarchs 72-782026-02-13 at Miami (OH) RedHawks 74-902026-02-17 v Ball State Cardinals 69-572026-02-21 at Northern Illinois Huskies 74-662026-02-28 v Toledo Rockets 67-792026-03-03 at Massachusetts Minutemen 82-942026-03-06 v Miami (OH) RedHawks 108-1102026-03-12 v Kent State Golden Flashes 75-86Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
15-17 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and road

At home: 10-6, seven covers in 14. On the road: 4-8, four covers in 12, a rate 31 teams fell below.

The opponents

Toledo and Kent State each won both meetings, with no Ohio cover. Buffalo lost both, both covers.

The total

Fifteen overs, 15 unders.

Questions and answers

Should you take the points with the Bobcats?

Not on 2025-26: they covered 4 of 14 as underdogs, and only ten Division I teams did worse there.

Did backing Ohio to win pay in 2025-26?

It cost 7.33 units over the 28 priced games.

What was Ohio’s best month against the spread?

December: 6-1 straight up, four covers in five lined games.

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