St Bonaventure Bonnies

Only five Division I teams posted a worse home rate than the Bonnies, who covered 3 home spreads out of 15 in 2025-26. A 7-1 November hid it for a while.

The home number

Fifteen lined home games, 3 covers: 20.0%. Five teams in the whole of Division I did worse in front of their own crowd, with one level. Straight up the Bonnies were still 9-7 there, so the problem was margin, and the home moneyline lost 5.48 units over 15 priced games. Fordham won 81-77 there at -410, and Richmond 89-80 at -265.

Away from home they covered 6 of 11, a coin flip by comparison, and the 11 priced road moneylines still lost 3.34 units on a 4-7 record.

A fast start that did not cover

November went 7-1, yet only 3 of 8 lined games covered. January was the reckoning: 2-6, 2 covers, 4.5 units gone. Over the season they went 17-17 and covered 13 of 33, 39.4%. December, 4-2 straight up, still cost 1.43 units on the moneyline, and February’s 2-5 another 3.54.

As favorites

Favored 21 times, they won 13 and covered 7. One unit on each of those 21 moneylines lost 3.92; as underdogs, 3-9 straight up cost another 5.18. The full priced season, 33 games, finished 9.1 units down.

Opponents who had their number

Richmond and Saint Joseph’s each beat them twice and covered twice. Dayton also won both meetings, the second in the Atlantic 10 quarterfinal, though the Bonnies covered each time.

The Atlantic 10 tournament

The Atlantic 10 tournament gave the Bonnies three games in three days. They beat La Salle, then George Mason 63-57 as +136 underdogs, before Dayton ended it. March as a whole went 2-3 with three covers.

Points

Nineteen of 33 totals went over, 57.6%; the Bonnies averaged 76.35 points and allowed 74.47.

Questions and answers