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College Basketball

Stanford Cardinal

College Basketball

The Cardinal made 4.63 units as underdogs in 2025-26 and lost 1.55 as favorites. Three home defeats at -310 or shorter cost 3 units; the other 15 games as favorites made 1.45.

The price split

Stanford were underdogs in 14 games in 2025-26 and won half of them. One unit on each of the 13 with a moneyline returned 4.63 units; only 49 Division I teams made more in that role. The best prices were a one-point win at NC State at +350, 85-84, and home wins over Louisville at +285 and North Carolina at +164. The NC State win fell in March, a 2-1 month that returned 3.39 units.

One unit on the Cardinal to win, every game0+2+4+3.08 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 31 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As favorites the Cardinal went 13-5 and one unit a game lost 1.55. Three of the five defeats came at home at short prices: Seattle U won 77-69 against Stanford at -700, UNLV 75-74 at -470, and Notre Dame 47-40 at -310. Over all 31 priced games the moneyline ended 3.08 units up.

Against the line

The record was 20-12 with 17 covers in 32 lined games. The roles split the same way as the moneyline: 9 covers in 14 as underdogs, 8 in 18 as favorites. Sixty-one teams covered more often as underdogs, four at the same rate. Straight up the Cardinal were 12-6 at home, 5-5 away and 3-1 at neutral sites; against the spread, 9-9 at home, 5-5 away and 3-1 neutral.

The Cardinal at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (18)won 12 (66.7%)covered 9 of 18 (50.0%)Away (10)won 5 (50.0%)covered 5 of 10 (50.0%)Favorite (18)won 13 (72.2%)covered 8 of 18 (44.4%)Underdog (14)won 7 (50.0%)covered 9 of 14 (64.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The Cardinal 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 v Portland State Vikings 89-792025-11-08 v Montana Grizzlies 91-682025-11-12 v Montana State Bobcats 77-682025-11-18 v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 93-662025-11-21 v Seattle U Redhawks 69-772025-11-27 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 72-682025-11-28 v Saint Louis Billikens 78-772025-12-01 v Portland Pilots 94-722025-12-07 v UNLV Rebels 74-752025-12-13 at San José State Spartans 86-822025-12-17 v UT Arlington Mavericks 76-602025-12-20 v Colorado Buffaloes 77-682025-12-27 v Cal State Northridge Matadors 88-802025-12-30 v Notre Dame Fighting Irish 40-472026-01-02 v Louisville Cardinals 80-762026-01-07 at Virginia Tech Hokies 69-682026-01-10 at Virginia Cavaliers 55-702026-01-14 v North Carolina Tar Heels 95-902026-01-17 v Duke Blue Devils 50-802026-01-24 v California Golden Bears 66-782026-01-28 at Miami Hurricanes 70-792026-01-31 at Florida State Seminoles 80-882026-02-04 v Clemson Tigers 64-662026-02-07 v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 95-722026-02-11 at Boston College Eagles 70-642026-02-14 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons 63-682026-02-21 at California Golden Bears 66-722026-02-25 v Pittsburgh Panthers 75-672026-02-28 v SMU Mustangs 95-752026-03-04 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 86-782026-03-07 at NC State Wolfpack 85-842026-03-10 v Pittsburgh Panthers 63-64Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
20-12 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Two opponents that beat the number

California won both meetings and covered both. Pittsburgh split two games with Stanford, including an ACC tournament first-round game, and Stanford missed the spread in both.

After the season

Stanford played in the College Basketball Crown and lost its quarterfinal to West Virginia.

The total

Eighteen unders, 14 overs, an under rate that 89 teams in Division I beat and 12 matched. The Cardinal scored 75.97 points a game and allowed 72.69.

Questions and answers

Is Stanford a good bet as an underdog?

In 2025-26 it was: 7-7 straight up as underdogs, 9 covers in 14, and 4.63 units on one unit a game.

How did Stanford do as a favorite in 2025-26?

13-5 straight up, 8 covers in 18, and a 1.55-unit loss on the moneyline.

How did Stanford do against California?

Lost both meetings in 2025-26 and failed to cover either.

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