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College Basketball

Georgia Bulldogs

College Basketball

Only four Division I teams outscored Georgia’s 89.81 points a game in 2025-26. The Bulldogs went 22-10, but against the spread the season came out dead level, 16 covers and 16 misses.

Points, but no lean

Georgia scored 89.81 and allowed 79.16. For all that scoring, the total split 17 overs to 15 unders, too close to call.

The Bulldogs 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Bellarmine Knights 104-592025-11-05 v Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks 94-292025-11-09 v Morehead State Eagles 120-812025-11-14 v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 92-872025-11-17 v Florida A&M Rattlers 87-572025-11-21 v Xavier Musketeers 78-772025-11-23 v Clemson Tigers 94-972025-11-29 v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 123-812025-12-02 at Florida State Seminoles 107-732025-12-13 v Cincinnati Bearcats 84-652025-12-18 v Western Carolina Catamounts 112-822025-12-22 v West Georgia Wolves 103-742025-12-29 v Long Island University Sharks 89-742026-01-03 v Auburn Tigers 104-1002026-01-06 at Florida Gators 77-922026-01-10 at South Carolina Gamecocks 75-702026-01-14 v Ole Miss Rebels 95-972026-01-17 v Arkansas Razorbacks 90-762026-01-20 at Missouri Tigers 74-722026-01-24 at Texas Longhorns 67-872026-01-28 v Tennessee Volunteers 85-862026-01-31 v Texas A&M Aggies 77-922026-02-07 at LSU Tigers 83-712026-02-11 v Florida Gators 66-862026-02-14 at Oklahoma Sooners 78-942026-02-17 at Kentucky Wildcats 86-782026-02-21 v Texas Longhorns 91-802026-02-25 at Vanderbilt Commodores 80-882026-02-28 v South Carolina Gamecocks 87-682026-03-03 v Alabama Crimson Tide 98-882026-03-07 at Mississippi State Bulldogs 102-962026-03-12 v Ole Miss Rebels 72-76Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
22-10 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Winning without covering

Favored 21 times, the Bulldogs won 18 and covered 11. The 16 favorite games with a moneyline made 1.1 units. Home was 14-4 straight up and 9 covers in 18; the 13 priced home moneylines lost 1.09. Away, 6-4 and 6 covers in 10, 2.21 units up, with an 86-78 win at Kentucky as +240 underdogs on 17 February.

The Bulldogs at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (18)won 14 (77.8%)covered 9 of 18 (50.0%)Away (10)won 6 (60.0%)covered 6 of 10 (60.0%)Favorite (21)won 18 (85.7%)covered 11 of 21 (52.4%)Underdog (11)won 4 (36.4%)covered 5 of 11 (45.5%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Of 32 games, only 27 carried a moneyline; across those 27 the blind unit finished 0.38 units down.

Ole Miss, twice

Ole Miss beat Georgia both times as underdogs: 97-95 in Georgia’s own gym with the Bulldogs at -675 on 14 January, then 76-72 in the SEC second round at -278. Neither covered. Florida also won both meetings and covered both. South Carolina went the other way, two Georgia wins and two covers.

One unit on the Bulldogs to win, every game0-2-1+1-0.38 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 27 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The calendar

November and December went 12-1 straight up but only 6 covers in 15. January was the losing month, 4-5 and 2.45 units down. February and March were both small profits, 0.92 and 0.48 units. The NCAA tournament ended the season in the first round, a defeat to Saint Louis.

Questions and answers

Is Georgia a spread team?

Not on 2025-26: a 22-10 record came with 16 covers and 16 misses.

How did Georgia do against Ole Miss?

Two defeats as favorites, at -675 and -278, and no covers.

Do Georgia games go over?

Barely: 17 overs and 15 unders, even with Georgia scoring 89.81 a game.

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