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Vanderbilt Commodores

College Basketball

Sixteen straight wins opened the Commodores’ 2025-26, yet at the prices offered a unit on each priced game came to just 2.69. Their best moneyline week came in March, as underdogs.

Sixteen without a loss

Vanderbilt were unbeaten until 14 January. They covered 10 of the 16 spreads in that run, but the moneyline was posted for only 12 of the games and often at prices like -50000 against Lipscomb and -100000 against Eastern Kentucky, so the 16 wins returned 2.69 units.

The Commodores 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Lipscomb Bisons 105-612025-11-08 at UCF Knights 105-932025-11-12 v Eastern Kentucky Colonels 92-622025-11-15 v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 104-752025-11-20 v Texas Southern Tigers 109-742025-11-26 v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 83-782025-11-27 v VCU Rams 89-742025-11-28 v Saint Mary's Gaels 96-712025-12-03 v SMU Mustangs 88-692025-12-13 v Central Arkansas Bears 83-722025-12-17 at Memphis Tigers 77-702025-12-21 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons 98-672025-12-29 v New Haven Chargers 96-532026-01-03 at South Carolina Gamecocks 83-712026-01-07 v Alabama Crimson Tide 96-902026-01-10 v LSU Tigers 84-732026-01-14 at Texas Longhorns 64-802026-01-17 v Florida Gators 94-982026-01-20 at Arkansas Razorbacks 68-932026-01-24 at Mississippi State Bulldogs 88-562026-01-27 v Kentucky Wildcats 80-552026-01-31 v Ole Miss Rebels 71-682026-02-07 v Oklahoma Sooners 91-922026-02-10 at Auburn Tigers 84-762026-02-14 v Texas A&M Aggies 82-692026-02-18 at Missouri Tigers 80-812026-02-21 v Tennessee Volunteers 65-692026-02-25 v Georgia Bulldogs 88-802026-02-28 at Kentucky Wildcats 77-912026-03-03 at Ole Miss Rebels 89-862026-03-07 at Tennessee Volunteers 86-822026-03-13 v Tennessee Volunteers 75-682026-03-14 v Florida Gators 91-742026-03-15 v Arkansas Razorbacks 75-86Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
26-8 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

From 14 January they went 10-8, covered 8 of 18, and made 0.4.

Short-priced defeats

The home loss to Oklahoma, 92-91 on 7 February at -900, was the costliest. Texas 80-64 at -192 and Missouri 81-80 at -162 followed the same pattern on the road. As favorites over the season the Commodores won 22 of 27, covered 14, and lost 0.61 units on the 23 priced games.

The Commodores at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 13 (81.2%)covered 8 of 16 (50.0%)Away (12)won 8 (66.7%)covered 6 of 12 (50.0%)Favorite (27)won 22 (81.5%)covered 14 of 27 (51.9%)Underdog (7)won 4 (57.1%)covered 4 of 7 (57.1%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

March as underdogs

Then three straight wins with points: at Tennessee 86-82 at +130, against Tennessee again 75-68 at +120 in the SEC quarterfinal, and 91-74 over Florida at +270 in the semifinal. Those three made 5.2 units, and March finished 4-1 and 4.52 up after an 86-75 loss to Arkansas in the final. As underdogs all season Vanderbilt won 4 of 7 for 3.7 units.

One unit on the Commodores to win, every game0-1+1+2+3+4+3.09 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The SEC

Tennessee was met three times; Vanderbilt won two and covered two. Arkansas won both meetings, the first 93-68 in January. Florida split, the Gators winning 98-94 at Vanderbilt and losing the semifinal by 17.

The total

Seventeen overs and 17 unders, an even split, while Vanderbilt scored 86.35 a game; 12 teams scored more. The highest total posted on their games was 176.5, against Alabama in January, and it went over in a 96-90 win.

After the SEC final, the NCAA tournament brought a win over McNeese 78-68, then a 74-72 loss to Nebraska.

Questions and answers

How did Vanderbilt start 2025-26?

16-0 to 10 January, with 10 covers and 2.69 moneyline units.

Did backing the Commodores as underdogs pay?

Yes: 4-3 and 3.7 units, with the three March wins over Tennessee, Tennessee and Florida making 5.2 on their own.

How did Vanderbilt do against Arkansas?

Two meetings, two defeats, the second 86-75 in the SEC final.

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