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Ole Miss Rebels

College Basketball

The Rebels lost seven of their eight February games in 2026 and then made 6.25 units in March, beating Texas, Georgia and Alabama in the SEC tournament as underdogs. At home their moneylines lost 7.92 units, and only seven Division I teams lost more there.

February to March

February opened with seven straight losses and finished 1-7, two covers in eight, 2.3 units lost. The turn came on its last day, 85-79 at Auburn at +470, and March kept to the underdog side with three SEC tournament wins in three days, 76-66 over Texas at +200, 76-72 over Georgia at +225 and 80-79 over Alabama at +500. Even the semifinal loss, 90-93 to Arkansas, covered 8.5. March finished 3-3, five covers in six, 6.25 units.

The Rebels 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v SE Louisiana Lions 88-582025-11-07 v UL Monroe Warhawks 86-652025-11-11 v Memphis Tigers 83-772025-11-14 v Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 82-602025-11-18 v Austin Peay Governors 72-652025-11-25 v Iowa Hawkeyes 69-742025-11-26 v Utah Utes 74-752025-12-02 v Miami Hurricanes 66-752025-12-06 at St. John's Red Storm 58-632025-12-13 v Southern Miss Golden Eagles 71-672025-12-17 v Alabama A&M Bulldogs 80-662025-12-21 v NC State Wolfpack 62-762025-12-29 v Alcorn State Braves 79-432026-01-03 at Oklahoma Sooners 70-862026-01-07 v Arkansas Razorbacks 87-942026-01-10 v Missouri Tigers 76-692026-01-14 at Georgia Bulldogs 97-952026-01-17 at Mississippi State Bulldogs 68-672026-01-20 v Auburn Tigers 66-782026-01-24 at Kentucky Wildcats 63-722026-01-31 at Vanderbilt Commodores 68-712026-02-03 at Tennessee Volunteers 66-842026-02-07 at Texas Longhorns 68-792026-02-11 v Alabama Crimson Tide 74-932026-02-14 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 78-902026-02-18 at Texas A&M Aggies 77-802026-02-21 v Florida Gators 75-942026-02-25 v LSU Tigers 99-1062026-02-28 at Auburn Tigers 85-792026-03-03 v Vanderbilt Commodores 86-892026-03-07 v South Carolina Gamecocks 61-642026-03-11 v Texas Longhorns 76-662026-03-12 v Georgia Bulldogs 76-722026-03-13 v Alabama Crimson Tide 80-792026-03-14 v Arkansas Razorbacks 90-93Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
15-20 in 35 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home was the drain

Ole Miss went 7-9 at home, covered 4 of 16, and the 15 priced home moneylines lost 7.92 units. Only 13 teams covered less often at home. Home losses as favorites: Miami (-130), Mississippi State (-175), LSU (99-106 at -142) and South Carolina (61-64 at -310).

The Rebels at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 7 (43.8%)covered 4 of 16 (25.0%)Away (10)won 3 (30.0%)covered 7 of 10 (70.0%)Favorite (14)won 9 (64.3%)covered 3 of 14 (21.4%)Underdog (21)won 6 (28.6%)covered 12 of 21 (57.1%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the road the Rebels went 3-7 but covered 7 of 10, and the 10 priced road games made 4.14 units, the Georgia win at +490 among them.

Underdog and favorite

As underdogs: 6-15 straight up, 12 covers in 21, and 5.39 units on the moneyline, a return 44 teams beat. As favorites: 9-5 straight up, 3 covers in 14, 3.81 units lost on 13 priced; only 18 teams covered less often laying points.

One unit on the Rebels to win, every game0-8-6-4-2+2+1.58 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 34 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The shortest-priced loss of the season came before any of this, in the Acrisure Classic in November: 74-75 to Utah at -750, the day after a 69-74 loss to Iowa. Neither covered, and the five home wins before them, laying between 9.5 and 37.5 points, produced one cover.

The total

Twenty overs and 15 unders, 57.1%; 59 teams went over more often. Across the whole season one unit on all 34 priced games made 1.58 units; March alone made 6.25.

Questions and answers

Are the Rebels better as underdogs or favorites?

Underdogs, on 2025-26: 12 covers in 21 and 5.39 units, against 3 covers in 14 as favorites.

What happened in the 2026 SEC tournament?

Ole Miss beat Texas at +200, Georgia at +225 and Alabama at +500, then lost 90-93 to Arkansas while covering.

Is Ole Miss a home bet?

Not on 2025-26: 7-9 at home, 4 covers in 16, and 7.92 units lost on the home moneylines.

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