Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State’s Bulldogs covered 10 of 32 spreads in 2025-26, and only three Division I teams covered less often. They missed the number in each of their first seven games and each of their last six.

Ten covers in 32

Mississippi State covered the spread in 10 of 32 lined games in 2025-26, 31.3%. Three Division I teams finished below that rate and one level with it. The misses bracketed the season: none of the first seven games covered, among them an 86-62 home win over North Alabama as 24.5-point favorites, half a point short.

Home floor

The home record was 8-8, and the home cover record 4-12, 25%. Thirteen teams covered less often at home and six at that rate. Backing them to win across 13 priced home games cost 3.50 units; on the road, 10 priced games, the same bet made 2.52 on the strength of wins at Texas, 101-98 at +370, and at LSU, 80-66 at +260. Neutral floors were worse still: one win in six, one cover, with losses to Iowa State, Kansas State, New Mexico at -290 and San Francisco at -192 among them.

Underdog and favorite

As underdogs they went 4-13 and covered 5 of 17; twelve teams had a lower underdog cover rate. As favorites they won 9 of 15 and covered 5. Over 29 priced games the moneyline lost 5.21 units.

The finish

The last six games were six defeats and six misses: at South Carolina as a 1.5-point favorite, at Alabama by 25, at home to Missouri by 24, at Florida 74-108, at home to Georgia, and to Auburn in the SEC tournament first round. Alabama and Missouri each won both meetings.

The total

Fifteen overs, 16 unders. The Bulldogs allowed 81.81 points a game; only 19 Division I teams allowed more.

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