Kentucky Wildcats

The Wildcats won 19 of 23 games as favorites in 2025-26 and 2 of 11 as underdogs, and both of those upsets came on SEC road floors in January. Against the spread the season landed exactly level, 17 and 17.

Favored most nights

Kentucky was favored 23 times. Six of those games, all at home with spreads from 32.5 to 42.5 points, carried no moneyline, so the favorite moneyline record covers 17 games: one unit on each made 1.68. The Wildcats covered 12 of the 23 favorite spreads.

The favorite defeats that hurt came at home and at short prices: 73-68 to Missouri at -900, 67-64 to North Carolina at -305 and 86-78 to Georgia at -298.

Two January road wins

As underdogs the Wildcats went 2-9, and the 11 underdog moneylines lost 4.4 units. The two wins came within a fortnight: 80-78 at Tennessee at +220 on 17 January and 85-77 at Arkansas at +240 on 31 January. That made January a 6-3 month and 2.76 units up, even though Kentucky covered only three of its nine spreads.

February flipped it: 4-3 straight up, six covers in seven, but 0.78 units lost.

The season line

Over 34 games Kentucky went 21-13, 14-4 at home and 4-6 on the road, and covered 17. A flat unit across the 28 Wildcat games with a price came to a 2.72-unit loss. Seventeen overs, 17 unders. Six games were on neutral floors: losses to Michigan State as a -175 favorite and to Gonzaga 94-59, a 78-66 win over St. John’s, and three SEC tournament games.

SEC opponents

Florida beat Kentucky three times, the last in the SEC quarterfinal, though Kentucky covered two of the three. Tennessee lost both meetings, worth 3.07 units. In the NCAA tournament Kentucky beat Santa Clara 89-84 and lost 82-63 to Iowa State.

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