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St Johns Red Storm

College Basketball

Between 6 and 23 December 2025 the Red Storm won four of five games and covered none of them. From 31 December they covered 15 of 22 and lost twice.

December

St. John’s beat Ole Miss 63-58 at -13.5, DePaul 79-66 at -19.5, Iona 91-64 at -28.5 and Harvard 85-59 at -26.5, and missed the number each time. The one loss of that run, 78-66 to Kentucky, missed too, and a unit on each of its four priced games lost 0.85.

The Storm 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Quinnipiac Bobcats 108-742025-11-08 v Alabama Crimson Tide 96-1032025-11-15 v William & Mary Tribe 93-602025-11-20 v Bucknell Bison 97-492025-11-24 v Iowa State Cyclones 82-832025-11-25 v Baylor Bears 96-812025-11-26 v Auburn Tigers 74-852025-12-06 v Ole Miss Rebels 63-582025-12-13 v Iona Gaels 91-642025-12-16 v DePaul Blue Demons 79-662025-12-20 v Kentucky Wildcats 66-782025-12-23 v Harvard Crimson 85-592025-12-31 at Georgetown Hoyas 95-832026-01-03 v Providence Friars 71-772026-01-06 at Butler Bulldogs 84-702026-01-10 at Creighton Bluejays 90-732026-01-13 v Marquette Golden Eagles 92-682026-01-17 at Villanova Wildcats 86-792026-01-20 v Seton Hall Pirates 65-602026-01-24 at Xavier Musketeers 88-832026-01-28 v Butler Bulldogs 92-702026-02-03 at DePaul Blue Demons 68-562026-02-06 v UConn Huskies 81-722026-02-09 v Xavier Musketeers 87-822026-02-14 at Providence Friars 79-692026-02-18 at Marquette Golden Eagles 76-702026-02-21 v Creighton Bluejays 81-522026-02-25 at UConn Huskies 40-722026-02-28 v Villanova Wildcats 89-572026-03-03 v Georgetown Hoyas 72-692026-03-06 at Seton Hall Pirates 72-652026-03-12 v Providence Friars 85-722026-03-13 v Seton Hall Pirates 78-682026-03-14 v UConn Huskies 72-52Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
28-6 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

31 December to March

From 31 December St. John’s went 20-2 before the NCAA tournament and covered 15 of 22, 68.2%. A 13-game win streak ran from 6 January to 21 February. The two losses were both to Big East rivals: 77-71 at home to Providence at -1350, and 72-40 at UConn on 25 February.

Over the full 34 games they went 28-6, a win rate only 13 Division I teams beat, and covered 19 of 33.

The Storm at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (20)won 18 (90.0%)covered 11 of 20 (55.0%)Away (10)won 9 (90.0%)covered 7 of 10 (70.0%)Favorite (29)won 26 (89.7%)covered 17 of 29 (58.6%)Underdog (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 2 of 4 (50.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The price on a favorite

Favored 29 times, they won 26 and covered 17. At those short prices, backing them every time they were favored, 27 priced games, earned just 2.23 units. The whole priced season, 31 games, returned 2.67. On the road the picture was better: 9-1 and 7 covers in 10.

One unit on the Storm to win, every game0-3-2-1+1+2+2.67 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 31 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

UConn

Three meetings, two St. John’s wins, both at home as underdogs: 81-72 at +120 and 72-52 at +124 in the Big East final. The third was the 32-point loss in between. Seton Hall lost all three meetings, two of them in March, and St. John’s covered twice; Providence took one of three.

The Storm against the teams they played mostProvidence Friars2-1, covered 2Seton Hall Pirates3-0, covered 2UConn Huskies2-1, covered 2Butler Bulldogs2-0, covered 2Creighton Bluejays2-0, covered 2DePaul Blue Demons2-0, covered 1Georgetown Hoyas2-0, covered 1Marquette Golden Eagles2-0, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Twenty-one unders and 13 overs, 61.8%; 39 Division I teams went under more often. In the NCAA tournament the Red Storm beat Northern Iowa and Kansas before an 80-75 loss to Duke in the Sweet 16.

Questions and answers

How did St. John’s do against the spread in December 2025?

One cover in six games while winning five; the cover came on 31 December, 95-83 at Georgetown.

Did the Red Storm cover after the new year?

Yes: 15 covers in 22 games from 31 December through the Big East tournament.

Do St. John’s games go over or under?

Under, more often than not: 21 unders and 13 overs in 2025-26.

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