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Butler Bulldogs

College Basketball

The Bulldogs covered every one of their seven lined November games in 2025-26 and then 4 of the next 13. By March the season sat at 16 covers and 16 misses, exactly level.

Seven for seven, then the turn

November was 6-1 straight up and 7-0 against the spread, worth 1.93 units on the moneyline. It included an 80-73 win over Virginia on a neutral floor as +230 underdogs. December (4-3, two covers) and January (3-5, two covers) reversed it, and the blind unit lost 3.94 units across those two months.

The Bulldogs 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-05 v Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 88-582025-11-08 v IU Indianapolis Jaguars 112-802025-11-11 v Chicago State Cougars 98-662025-11-15 at SMU Mustangs 85-872025-11-21 v South Carolina Gamecocks 79-722025-11-23 v Virginia Cavaliers 80-732025-11-28 v Wright State Raiders 94-692025-12-02 v Eastern Michigan Eagles 84-682025-12-06 v Boise State Broncos 68-772025-12-13 v Providence Friars 113-1102025-12-16 at UConn Huskies 60-792025-12-20 v Northwestern Wildcats 61-582025-12-22 v NJIT Highlanders 101-522025-12-30 at Creighton Bluejays 85-892026-01-03 v Villanova Wildcats 67-852026-01-06 v St. John's Red Storm 70-842026-01-14 at Xavier Musketeers 75-892026-01-17 at Seton Hall Pirates 77-662026-01-20 v DePaul Blue Demons 87-802026-01-23 v Marquette Golden Eagles 87-762026-01-28 at St. John's Red Storm 70-922026-01-31 v Georgetown Hoyas 64-772026-02-04 at Providence Friars 87-972026-02-07 at Marquette Golden Eagles 55-702026-02-11 v UConn Huskies 70-802026-02-15 v Seton Hall Pirates 56-632026-02-18 at Georgetown Hoyas 93-892026-02-21 v Xavier Musketeers 80-752026-02-25 at Villanova Wildcats 73-822026-03-04 v Creighton Bluejays 59-762026-03-07 at DePaul Blue Demons 81-712026-03-11 v Providence Friars 81-91Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
16-16 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Level against the number

Sixteen covers, 16 misses, no pushes. The split held almost everywhere: 8 of 17 at home, 6 of 11 away, 8 of 17 as favorites, 8 of 15 as underdogs. Straight up, the record was the same 16-16.

The Bulldogs at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 10 (58.8%)covered 8 of 17 (47.1%)Away (11)won 3 (27.3%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Favorite (17)won 12 (70.6%)covered 8 of 17 (47.1%)Underdog (15)won 4 (26.7%)covered 8 of 15 (53.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home prices

Where Butler lost money was its own floor. One unit on each of 17 priced home games lost 5.1 units, with Georgetown winning there 77-64 at -250 on 31 January and Creighton 76-59 at -155 on 4 March. Away, the 11 priced games lost 1.95. Over all 32 priced games: 4.69 down.

One unit on the Bulldogs to win, every game0-6-4-2-4.69 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The Big East slate

Providence came up three times, a Big East first-round game being the third; Butler won once and covered none. St. John’s won both meetings and covered both. DePaul lost twice, worth 1.91 units, and at Seton Hall the Bulldogs won 77-66 as +225 underdogs.

The Bulldogs against the teams they played mostProvidence Friars1-2, covered 0Creighton Bluejays0-2, covered 1DePaul Blue Demons2-0, covered 1Georgetown Hoyas1-1, covered 1Marquette Golden Eagles1-1, covered 1Seton Hall Pirates1-1, covered 1St. John's Red Storm0-2, covered 0UConn Huskies0-2, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Total

Eighteen overs, 14 unders: Butler scored 79.38 a game and allowed 77.53, and the total split close to even.

Questions and answers

Did Butler cover the spread in 2025-26?

Exactly half the time: 16 covers and 16 misses in 32 lined games.

How did Butler do against Providence?

Butler beat the Friars once in three games and failed to cover all three times.

When were the Bulldogs worth backing?

November: 7 covers from 7 lined games and 1.93 units on the moneyline.

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