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College Basketball

Xavier Musketeers

College Basketball

The Musketeers’ games cleared the posted total 24 times in 33 during 2025-26, a rate bettered by a single Division I program. Away from Cincinnati they won once in 11.

The over

Xavier games went over 24 times and under nine, 72.7%. One Division I team topped that rate; none matched it. The Musketeers scored 78.36 a game and allowed 80.64, a defensive figure only 28 teams finished behind.

The Musketeers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Marist Red Foxes 66-622025-11-06 v Le Moyne Dolphins 74-692025-11-10 v Santa Clara Broncos 68-872025-11-14 at Iowa Hawkeyes 62-812025-11-18 v Old Dominion Monarchs 99-692025-11-21 v Georgia Bulldogs 77-782025-11-23 v West Virginia Mountaineers 78-682025-11-28 v Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 88-672025-12-01 v Saint Francis Red Wolves 96-742025-12-05 v Cincinnati Bearcats 79-742025-12-12 v Missouri State Bears 75-572025-12-17 v Creighton Bluejays 57-982025-12-20 at Georgetown Hoyas 80-772025-12-31 v UConn Huskies 67-902026-01-03 at DePaul Blue Demons 77-862026-01-07 at Marquette Golden Eagles 65-662026-01-10 v Providence Friars 97-842026-01-14 v Butler Bulldogs 89-752026-01-21 at Creighton Bluejays 93-942026-01-24 v St. John's Red Storm 83-882026-01-28 at Seton Hall Pirates 68-862026-01-31 v DePaul Blue Demons 68-662026-02-03 at UConn Huskies 60-922026-02-09 at St. John's Red Storm 82-872026-02-14 v Marquette Golden Eagles 96-882026-02-17 v Villanova Wildcats 89-922026-02-21 at Butler Bulldogs 75-802026-02-25 at Providence Friars 84-942026-02-28 v Georgetown Hoyas 91-842026-03-03 v Seton Hall Pirates 68-772026-03-07 at Villanova Wildcats 78-912026-03-11 v Marquette Golden Eagles 89-872026-03-12 v UConn Huskies 68-93Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
15-18 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Road games

Straight up they were 12-6 at home, 2-2 at neutral sites and 1-10 on the road. One unit on them in the 11 road games lost 8.2 units. At home the moneyline came close to even, 0.9 units down over 18. The spread was steadier: 9 covers in 18 at home, 4 in 11 away.

The Musketeers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (18)won 12 (66.7%)covered 9 of 18 (50.0%)Away (11)won 1 (9.1%)covered 4 of 11 (36.4%)Favorite (11)won 9 (81.8%)covered 4 of 11 (36.4%)Underdog (22)won 6 (27.3%)covered 12 of 22 (54.5%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite or underdog

Favored 11 times, Xavier won nine and covered four. Underdogs 22 times, they won six and covered 12, but the moneyline there lost 7.58. The best prices cashed were +220 against West Virginia in Charleston, 78-68, and +180 at Georgetown, 80-77. The shortest that failed were Santa Clara at -165, 68-87, and Creighton at -162, 57-98, both at home.

One unit on the Musketeers to win, every game0-6-4-2-7.40 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 33 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

UConn and Marquette

Three meetings with UConn, three losses and no covers, the last 68-93 in the Big East quarterfinal at +1100. Three with Marquette: two wins and three covers, including an 89-87 first-round win at +150.

The Musketeers against the teams they played mostMarquette Golden Eagles2-1, covered 3UConn Huskies0-3, covered 0Butler Bulldogs1-1, covered 1Creighton Bluejays0-2, covered 1DePaul Blue Demons1-1, covered 0Georgetown Hoyas2-0, covered 2Providence Friars1-1, covered 1Seton Hall Pirates0-2, covered 0
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The months

December was the only month in profit, 0.75 units on a 4-2 record. February went 2-5 and lost 3.74.

Early neutral games

In the Charleston Classic Xavier lost 77-78 to Georgia as a +475 underdog, covering, then beat West Virginia. The Crosstown Shootout went their way, 79-74 over Cincinnati at -112.

Questions and answers

How often did Xavier games go over in 2025-26?

Twenty-four times in 33, 72.7%; one program had a higher over rate.

What did the Musketeers’ road games return?

A 1-10 record, 4 covers in 11, and 8.2 units lost on the moneyline.

How did Xavier fare against UConn?

Three losses and three non-covers, the last at +1100 in the Big East quarterfinal.

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