Cincinnati Bearcats

The Bearcats were 15-3 at home and 2-8 away in 2025-26, and the spread followed the same line: 10 home covers in 17, 3 road covers in 10. Twenty programmes in the country had a poorer travelling cover rate.

A home team

Cincinnati covered 58.8% of its lined home games and 30.0% on the road. On the road rate, 20 teams sat lower and five were tied with them. One unit on the home moneyline every game, 17 priced, made 1.94 units; the same on the road, 10 priced, lost 3.36. Five more games were on neutral floors.

Home had its lapses too. On 26 November the Bearcats lost 64-56 to Eastern Michigan as 22.5-point favorites, priced at -5000. West Virginia also won there, 59-54 at -245.

Covers

At 18-15 they covered 14 of 32, 43.8%. Favored 21 times, they won 15 and covered 10; as underdogs they won 2 of 11 and covered 4. On the moneyline the favorite games lost 2.2 units across 21, the underdog games 3.1 across 11.

When it paid

February was the one month clearly in profit, 5-2 and 3.46 units, built on an 84-68 win at Kansas as +390 underdogs on 21 February. A month earlier Iowa State fell 79-70 in Cincinnati at +200. The other months bled: November was 5-2 yet covered only twice in six, and January went 3-6. Across 32 priced games, blind support lost 5.3 units.

Who had the Bearcats’ measure

Houston and West Virginia each won both meetings and covered both. UCF beat them twice in three tries, including in the Big 12 second round, though Cincinnati covered two. Utah lost twice, without Cincinnati covering either.

Under

Twenty unders against 13 overs in 33 games with a total, 60.6%. The Bearcats scored 73.12 a game and allowed 67.58.

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