Providence Friars

Only five Division I teams went over the total more often than the Friars in 2025-26: 22 overs in 32 games. Providence also lost 13 of 17 as underdogs and still covered ten of them.

Overs, at both ends

Providence scored 85.3 points a game and allowed 84.0. Only five teams in Division I gave up more. Put those two numbers together and you have the season’s tell: the over landed 22 times in 32, 68.8%. Five teams finished with a higher over rate; two sat level with Providence.

Three defeats alone produced 223, 208 and 209 points: 113-110 at Butler, 107-101 to Virginia Tech, and 105-104 at Marquette.

Losing, but covering

The Friars went 15-18, and 4-13 as underdogs. Against the spread the same games were 10-7. They covered 19 of 33 overall, 57.6%. The road shows it plainest: three wins in 12 away games, seven covers. At home it was 10-6 with nine covers in 16.

The moneyline did not follow. Backing Providence straight up in each of its 32 priced games cost 2.58 units: home cost 2.9 over 15, away made 1.9 over 12.

One price at St. John’s

The road profit rests on one night. On 3 January Providence won 77-71 at St. John’s at +800, getting 14.5 points. That made January a 2-7 month that still finished 2.2 units up. St. John’s won the other two meetings, the second in the Big East tournament.

Big East opponents

Butler met them three times and Providence covered all three, winning two, the last in the conference tournament. Creighton and DePaul lost twice each. Villanova and Seton Hall won both meetings and covered both. UConn also won twice, but Providence covered both, getting 9.5 and 15.5. Georgetown beat them twice by a combined four points, 81-78 and 80-79.

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