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Missouri Tigers

College Basketball

Missouri won six of its 13 games as an underdog in 2025-26, including 73-68 at Kentucky at +600, and those moneylines made 7.99 units. Laying points, the Tigers covered 7 of 19, which is the other half of every Missouri prediction above.

Six underdog wins

The Tigers were underdogs 13 times and won six: Florida 76-74 at +260, at Kentucky 73-68 at +600, Auburn 84-74 getting 1.5, at Texas A&M 86-85 at +245, Vanderbilt 81-80 at +136 and Tennessee 73-69 at +160. One unit on each underdog moneyline made 7.99; only 22 teams did better.

One unit on the Tigers to win, every game0-2+2+4+6+8+5.59 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Across 29 priced games the Missouri moneyline made 5.59, a total 39 teams beat. Fifteen home games made 4.74, and only 18 teams made more at home.

Seven covers in 19 as favorite

As favorites the Tigers went 14-5 and covered seven. November brought eight wins in eight games, every one as a favorite of 7.5 points or more, and four covers; three home wins laying more than 30, among them 98-66 over South Carolina State at -34.5, all missed.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (18)won 15 (83.3%)covered 8 of 18 (44.4%)Away (11)won 5 (45.5%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Favorite (19)won 14 (73.7%)covered 7 of 19 (36.8%)Underdog (13)won 6 (46.2%)covered 7 of 13 (53.8%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season’s shape

Missouri finished 20-12 and covered 14 of 32. February was the best month, 5-2 with six covers and 4.8 units. March went 0-3, ending with 72-78 to Kentucky in the SEC tournament second round; Miami then ended Missouri’s season in its NCAA tournament opener.

The Tigers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at Howard Bison 88-672025-11-07 v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 89-842025-11-09 v VMI Keydets 106-682025-11-12 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 83-602025-11-17 v Prairie View A&M Panthers 91-732025-11-20 v South Dakota Coyotes 102-682025-11-25 v South Carolina State Bulldogs 98-662025-11-28 v Cleveland State Vikings 86-592025-12-02 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 71-762025-12-07 v Kansas Jayhawks 60-802025-12-11 v Alabama State Hornets 85-772025-12-14 v Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 82-602025-12-22 v Illinois Fighting Illini 48-912026-01-03 v Florida Gators 76-742026-01-07 at Kentucky Wildcats 73-682026-01-10 at Ole Miss Rebels 69-762026-01-14 v Auburn Tigers 84-742026-01-17 at LSU Tigers 70-782026-01-20 v Georgia Bulldogs 72-742026-01-24 v Oklahoma Sooners 88-872026-01-27 at Alabama Crimson Tide 64-902026-01-31 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 84-792026-02-07 at South Carolina Gamecocks 78-592026-02-11 at Texas A&M Aggies 86-852026-02-14 v Texas Longhorns 68-852026-02-18 v Vanderbilt Commodores 81-802026-02-21 at Arkansas Razorbacks 86-942026-02-24 v Tennessee Volunteers 73-692026-02-28 at Mississippi State Bulldogs 88-642026-03-03 at Oklahoma Sooners 64-802026-03-07 v Arkansas Razorbacks 84-882026-03-12 v Kentucky Wildcats 72-78Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
20-12 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

December brought two heavy neutral-site defeats as an underdog, 60-80 to Kansas and 48-91 to Illinois. Arkansas won both meetings. Seventeen of 32 priced totals went under.

Questions and answers

Is Missouri worth backing as an underdog?

On 2025-26, yes: six wins in 13 underdog games and 7.99 units made.

Does Missouri cover as a favorite?

Seven times in 19 in 2025-26.

What was Missouri’s biggest upset in 2025-26?

73-68 at Kentucky on 7 January, at +600 and getting 12.5.

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