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Tarleton State Texans

College Basketball

The Texans covered nine of their first ten spreads of 2025-26. From January they covered 5 of 18, went 4-14, and lost 10.8 moneyline units.

Nine of ten

Tarleton State’s first ten spreads produced nine covers, the one miss a 96-60 loss at LSU getting 15.5. Several came as heavy road underdogs, 96-76 at SMU getting 21.5 and 94-81 at Baylor getting 23.5, and one was an outright win at Rice, 90-74 at +175. The record by the end of December was 10-4, four of the wins over opponents with no line posted.

The Texans 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at SMU Mustangs 76-962025-11-05 at LSU Tigers 60-962025-11-08 v Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 85-772025-11-11 v Merrimack Warriors 76-622025-11-14 at Baylor Bears 81-942025-11-17 v Angelo State Rams 77-542025-11-20 at Rice Owls 90-742025-11-28 v Midwestern State Mustangs 67-572025-12-01 at Cincinnati Bearcats 58-762025-12-03 v Howard Payne Yellow Jackets 119-542025-12-07 v Cameron Aggies 93-632025-12-16 at Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 88-642025-12-19 v Florida A&M Rattlers 78-542025-12-29 at UT Arlington Mavericks 69-632026-01-01 v Utah Valley Wolverines 85-912026-01-03 v California Baptist Lancers 81-762026-01-08 v Abilene Christian Wildcats 80-842026-01-15 at Southern Utah Thunderbirds 105-1062026-01-17 at Utah Tech Trailblazers 71-752026-01-21 at UT Arlington Mavericks 64-712026-01-29 v Utah Valley Wolverines 55-832026-01-31 v Utah Tech Trailblazers 59-652026-02-05 at California Baptist Lancers 55-562026-02-07 at Southern Utah Thunderbirds 62-592026-02-14 at Abilene Christian Wildcats 59-732026-02-16 v Abilene Christian Wildcats 65-622026-02-19 v Southern Utah Thunderbirds 78-742026-02-21 v Utah Tech Trailblazers 72-802026-02-26 at Utah Valley Wolverines 72-792026-02-28 at California Baptist Lancers 67-822026-03-05 v UT Arlington Mavericks 60-652026-03-11 v Abilene Christian Wildcats 78-84Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
14-18 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Then the conference

January was 1-7 with a single cover and 6.13 units lost, the worst month of the season. The six defeats after a 3 January win over California Baptist included Abilene Christian 84-80 at home at -198 and Southern Utah 106-105 away at -185. March was 0-2. From January to the end the Texans were 4-14 and covered 5 of 18.

One unit on the Texans to win, every game0-10-8-6-4-2-10.65 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 28 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdogs and the road

As underdogs they won 3 of 16 and the moneyline lost 8.99, while covering 8 of 16. On the road they were 4-11 but covered 9 of 15; at home 10-6 and 5 of 12. Over 28 priced games the moneyline lost 10.65, and 43 Division I teams lost more.

The Texans at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 10 (62.5%)covered 5 of 12 (41.7%)Away (15)won 4 (26.7%)covered 9 of 15 (60.0%)Favorite (12)won 7 (58.3%)covered 6 of 12 (50.0%)Underdog (16)won 3 (18.8%)covered 8 of 16 (50.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The WAC

Abilene Christian was met four times. Tarleton State won once, 65-62 at home on 16 February at +102, and lost the other three, the last 84-78 in the WAC tournament’s first round. Utah Tech and Utah Valley won all three of their meetings each, and the Texans covered one of the six.

The total

Tarleton State’s 28 totals finished 15 over and 13 under, with the Texans scoring 74.53 points a game and allowing 73.41, close to level on both counts.

Questions and answers

How did Tarleton State start 2025-26 against the spread?

Nine covers in ten through December.

And from January?

4-14 straight up and 5 covers in 18, with the moneyline down 10.8 units.

How did the Texans do against Abilene Christian?

One win in four meetings, at +102, and one cover.

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