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South Florida Bulls

College Basketball

Only seven Division I teams outscored the Bulls in 2025-26, and South Florida won 25 of 33. Backing them to win every priced game still ended almost exactly level, 0.07 units up.

Wins without profit

South Florida averaged 87.73 points, a figure only seven Division I teams beat. The Bulls went 25-8, 13-2 at home, and were favorites 28 times.

The winning never turned into money. One unit to win in each of the 30 priced games closed 0.07 up. As favorites they made 2.02 units over 26 priced games; four games as underdogs, one win, cost 1.95. Split by venue it was no better: 0.04 units over 13 priced home games, 1.32 over 12 away.

One unit on the Bulls to win, every game0-3-2-1+0.07 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Three losses at short prices

The season’s cost sits in three games. At Temple on 31 January, priced at -500, they lost 79-78. At home to UAB at -395 it was 109-106, and at home to Wichita State at -380, 86-85. Five points across three games. At -380 one loss erases 3.8 winning bets; at -500, five.

The spread, and the run

The Bulls covered 18 of 32 lined games, 56.3%, as favorites 16 of 28. At home it was 9 of 14, 64.3%; away, 7 of 12.

The Bulls 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Florida A&M Rattlers 102-672025-11-08 v George Washington Revolutionaries 95-992025-11-12 v Coppin State Eagles 100-502025-11-16 at Kennesaw State Owls 108-892025-11-19 at Oklahoma State Cowboys 95-1032025-11-26 v VCU Rams 66-782025-11-27 v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 97-912025-11-28 v Colorado State Rams 68-832025-12-04 v Utah State Aggies 74-612025-12-10 v Charleston Cougars 81-752025-12-17 at Alabama Crimson Tide 93-1042025-12-21 v UMBC Retrievers 94-692025-12-29 v Georgia College Bobcats 111-502026-01-04 v UAB Blazers 106-1092026-01-07 at North Texas Mean Green 74-702026-01-10 at Tulsa Golden Hurricane 93-782026-01-14 v East Carolina Pirates 82-712026-01-18 v Wichita State Shockers 85-862026-01-22 at UAB Blazers 82-692026-01-25 v Florida Atlantic Owls 89-752026-01-28 at Tulane Green Wave 97-832026-01-31 at Temple Owls 78-792026-02-04 v UTSA Roadrunners 109-882026-02-08 v Tulsa Golden Hurricane 80-742026-02-11 at Wichita State Shockers 66-582026-02-15 at Florida Atlantic Owls 83-812026-02-19 v Memphis Tigers 87-662026-02-25 at Rice Owls 75-562026-03-01 v Tulane Green Wave 90-622026-03-05 at Memphis Tigers 96-892026-03-08 v Charlotte 49ers 83-602026-03-14 v Charlotte 49ers 86-642026-03-15 v Wichita State Shockers 70-55Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
25-8 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

After the Temple loss they did not lose again: 11 straight wins, March 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread, ending with a 70-55 win over Wichita State in the American Conference tournament final.

Conference rivals

Wichita State three times: two wins, two covers. Tulsa twice, two wins and two covers, 1.51 units, including a 93-78 win there at +105, their only win in four games as underdogs. UAB split the two meetings.

The Bulls against the teams they played mostWichita State Shockers2-1, covered 2Charlotte 49ers2-0, covered 2Florida Atlantic Owls2-0, covered 1Memphis Tigers2-0, covered 1Tulane Green Wave2-0, covered 2Tulsa Golden Hurricane2-0, covered 2UAB Blazers1-1, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

For all the scoring, 18 unders and 14 overs. The NCAA tournament ended it in the first round, 83-79 to Louisville.

Questions and answers

Did South Florida’s 25-8 record make money on the moneyline?

Barely: 0.07 units over 30 priced games, with 2.02 made as favorites and 1.95 lost as underdogs.

Did South Florida’s 13-2 home record carry over to the spread?

Mostly: 9 covers in 14 lined home games, 64.3%, against 7 in 12 away.

Which losses cost South Florida backers most?

Three one-possession defeats at short prices: 79-78 at Temple at -500, 109-106 to UAB at -395 and 86-85 to Wichita State at -380.

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