Idaho State Bengals

Backing the Bengals to win every priced game in 2025-26 lost 12.61 units over 28, a deficit 22 Division I teams exceeded. The spread told a milder story: 14 covers in 29.

The moneyline hole

Of 365 Division I teams, 342 returned more on blind moneyline support than Idaho State. Most of the 12.61 units went on the road, where 15 priced games lost 9.27 and the record was 3-12; again 342 teams did better away, 22 worse. As underdogs, 3-13 straight up, the 16 moneylines lost 9.29.

Home was 8-6 and cheaper, 2.83 units lost over 11 priced games. Favored 13 times, the Bengals won seven; the 12 priced favorite moneylines lost 3.32. The short-priced home defeats are the ones to remember: 79-73 to Northern Arizona at -360 on 5 February, 84-66 to Eastern Washington at -258 on 17 January.

The spread was fairer

Fourteen covers, 15 misses. Home 5 of 11, away 7 of 15, favorites 6 of 13, underdogs 8 of 16: none of the four strays far from half.

A good November, then a long winter

November went 4-4 but covered all five lined games. December (3-2, three covers in four) held. January and February then ran 5-12 straight up with 5 covers in 17, costing 8.58 units.

Portland State, three times

Portland State beat the Bengals in all three meetings, the third in the Big Sky second round, and covered each time: 3 units lost. Northern Colorado and Eastern Washington won both of theirs, again without an Idaho State cover. Against Northern Arizona, also met three times, the Bengals won two and covered one.

Points

Seventeen overs and 13 unders in 30 games with a total: not enough to call.

Questions and answers