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Northern Colorado Bears

College Basketball

One result made the Bears’ 2025-26 moneyline: 86-81 at Colorado on 28 December, at +950. Without it, the season’s 5.15-unit profit turns into a 4.35-unit loss.

One ticket at Colorado

Northern Colorado were 15.5-point underdogs at Colorado three days after Christmas. They won 86-81, and a unit on them paid 9.5. That one game is why December, a 3-2 month, returned 8.27 units.

Across all 28 priced games, backing the Bears to win made 5.15. Strip the Colorado ticket out and it is 4.35 down. As underdogs they went 2-4 and made 6.64; as favorites, 15-8 and 1.49 lost.

One unit on the Bears to win, every game0+2+4+6+8+5.15 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 28 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The January slide

After an 85-72 win over Idaho State on 8 January, the Bears lost six straight. January finished 3-7 straight up and 2-8 against the spread, 5.47 units down. Five of the seven losses were by five points or fewer, and five came as favorites, including 76-71 at home to Weber State at -270 and 93-89 at Sacramento State at -298.

February turned straight back: 6-1, five covers in seven and 2.45 units, closed by a 76-67 win at Idaho at +114.

The Bears 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Colorado College Tigers 91-572025-11-07 v Colorado Christian Cougars 101-652025-11-15 at Pepperdine Waves 88-812025-11-21 v St. Thomas Tommies 72-732025-11-22 at Portland Pilots 86-802025-11-23 v Cal State Fullerton Titans 97-932025-11-26 at Air Force Falcons 71-532025-11-29 v Regis University REGIS UNIVERSITY 104-632025-12-03 at Omaha Mavericks 75-702025-12-06 v South Dakota Coyotes 89-872025-12-16 at Texas Tech Red Raiders 90-1012025-12-20 v Denver Pioneers 79-862025-12-28 at Colorado Buffaloes 86-812026-01-01 at Montana State Bobcats 75-892026-01-03 at Montana Grizzlies 79-882026-01-08 v Idaho State Bengals 85-722026-01-10 v Weber State Wildcats 71-762026-01-15 at Portland State Vikings 73-762026-01-17 at Sacramento State Hornets 89-932026-01-19 v Montana State Bobcats 68-732026-01-24 at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 77-812026-01-29 v Idaho Vandals 91-832026-01-31 v Eastern Washington Eagles 74-712026-02-05 at Weber State Wildcats 88-742026-02-07 at Idaho State Bengals 69-612026-02-12 v Sacramento State Hornets 95-792026-02-14 v Portland State Vikings 77-652026-02-21 v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 78-772026-02-26 at Eastern Washington Eagles 72-822026-02-28 at Idaho Vandals 76-672026-03-02 v Montana Grizzlies 85-572026-03-09 v Montana Grizzlies 89-95Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
20-12 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home, road and the spread

They covered 15 of 29 lined games, 51.7%. On the road it was 9 of 15; at home, 5 of 11. Moneyline away from home made 7.07 units over 14 priced games, level with one other team for 23rd in Division I; at home the same bet lost 0.14 over 11.

The Bears at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (14)won 11 (78.6%)covered 5 of 11 (45.5%)Away (15)won 8 (53.3%)covered 9 of 15 (60.0%)Favorite (23)won 15 (65.2%)covered 11 of 23 (47.8%)Underdog (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Big Sky rivals

Montana State won both meetings and covered both. Montana lost 85-57 in March and then knocked the Bears out of the Big Sky tournament, 95-89. Idaho lost both, and Northern Colorado covered both.

The total

Sixteen overs, 13 unders, with 82.5 scored and 76.53 allowed per game: no lean worth carrying.

Questions and answers

How much of Northern Colorado’s 2025-26 moneyline profit came from the Colorado upset?

All of it: the season made 5.15 units, and that one +950 win paid 9.5.

What happened to the Bears in January 2026?

Six straight losses on the way to a 3-7 month, 2-8 against the spread and 5.47 units down.

Where did Northern Colorado cover more often in 2025-26?

Away from home: 9 covers in 15 road games, against 5 in 11 at home.

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