Air Force Falcons

The Falcons lost their last 25 games of 2025-26, and backing them to win lost 23.44 units, more than any other Division I team. Our Air Force predictions are above; where the spread still paid is below.

Three wins, all in November

Air Force went 3-29. The wins came within five days at home: 66-64 over Alabama State at -140, 77-63 over SIU Edwardsville at +120, and 98-85 over IU Indianapolis at -155. From 26 November on, every game was lost.

Only one team had a lower winning percentage, and only one scored fewer than Air Force’s 61.53 points a game.

Against the spread

Ten covers in 32 lined games; three teams covered less often and one at the same rate. January was the floor: eight losses, eight misses. The covers that did come were mostly on long numbers, among them 58-81 at San Diego State getting 24.5, 57-81 at Grand Canyon getting 26.5 and 62-66 at Wyoming getting 20.5.

Air Force covered 5 of 18 at home and 5 of 12 on the road.

The moneyline

Twenty-nine priced games lost 23.44 units, the worst total in Division I. Thirty of 32 games were played as an underdog; one team had more.

Mountain West opponents and the total

Nevada beat Air Force three times, the last 80-45 in the Mountain West first round. New Mexico won its two by 42 and 37. Wyoming also won twice, yet Air Force covered both. Eighteen of 32 totals went over, with the Falcons allowing 79.88 a game.

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