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Penn St Nittany Lions

College Basketball

The Nittany Lions lost every game they played in January 2026, eight of them, and still covered four. In February they won three times as underdogs, at +130, +675 and +410.

Eight straight in January

Penn State went into January 2026 with a winning record and came out of it 0-8. The moneyline lost exactly eight units that month. The spread told a different story: four covers in eight, every one of them as an underdog of 11.5 or more. They lost 74-72 to Michigan with 24.5 points in hand and 93-85 at Purdue with 22.5.

The Lions 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Fairfield Stags 76-682025-11-08 at New Haven Chargers 87-432025-11-11 v Navy Midshipmen 80-712025-11-15 v La Salle Explorers 83-692025-11-19 v Harvard Crimson 84-802025-11-22 v Providence Friars 65-772025-11-25 v Boston University Terriers 96-872025-11-29 v Sacred Heart Pioneers 90-592025-12-02 v Campbell Fighting Camels 87-762025-12-09 at Indiana Hoosiers 72-1132025-12-13 v Michigan State Spartans 72-762025-12-21 v Pittsburgh Panthers 46-802025-12-29 v North Carolina Central Eagles 90-672026-01-03 v Illinois Fighting Illini 65-732026-01-06 v Michigan Wolverines 72-742026-01-10 at Purdue Boilermakers 85-932026-01-14 v UCLA Bruins 60-712026-01-18 at Maryland Terrapins 73-962026-01-22 v Wisconsin Badgers 71-982026-01-26 at Ohio State Buckeyes 78-842026-01-29 at Northwestern Wildcats 73-942026-02-01 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 77-752026-02-05 at Michigan Wolverines 69-1102026-02-08 v USC Trojans 75-772026-02-11 at Washington Huskies 63-602026-02-14 at Oregon Ducks 72-832026-02-18 v Rutgers Scarlet Knights 72-852026-02-21 at Nebraska Cornhuskers 64-872026-02-28 v Iowa Hawkeyes 71-692026-03-04 v Ohio State Buckeyes 62-942026-03-08 at Rutgers Scarlet Knights 62-742026-03-10 v Northwestern Wildcats 66-76Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
12-20 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The February prices

Then came the three wins worth knowing about, all as underdogs: 77-75 over Minnesota at +130, 63-60 at Washington at +675, and 71-69 over Iowa at +410. Together they paid 12.15 units, and February finished 7.15 up on a 3-5 record.

Over all 32 priced games, one unit on the Nittany Lions to win lost 7.14. As underdogs they went 3-18 and lost 5.85.

One unit on the Lions to win, every game0-10-5-7.14 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Laying points

The favorites’ games were where the spread hurt. Penn State won nine of 11 as favorites and covered three of ten; only 41 teams covered less often when favored, and two matched them. The two worst defeats at a short price were 80-46 to Pittsburgh at a neutral site at -112 and 85-72 at home to Rutgers at -218, the first of two Rutgers wins inside three weeks.

The Lions at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 9 (52.9%)covered 7 of 16 (43.8%)Away (11)won 2 (18.2%)covered 4 of 11 (36.4%)Favorite (11)won 9 (81.8%)covered 3 of 10 (30.0%)Underdog (21)won 3 (14.3%)covered 9 of 21 (42.9%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Big Ten opponents

Four teams beat them twice: Michigan, the second time 110-69; Rutgers; Ohio State; and Northwestern, the second time in the Big Ten tournament. Penn State covered once each against Michigan and Ohio State, never against the other two.

The total

Eighteen overs, 14 unders, five of the overs in that losing January. Overall they covered 12 of 31, 38.7%, and went 2-9 away from home.

Questions and answers

How did Penn State do in January 2026?

Eight games, eight losses, eight moneyline units lost, yet four covers as big underdogs.

Which Nittany Lions upsets paid most in 2025-26?

63-60 at Washington at +675 and 71-69 over Iowa at +410, both in February.

How often did Penn State cover as a favorite?

Three times in ten lined games, with only 41 Division I teams lower.

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