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College Basketball

William Mary Tribe

College Basketball

Through the end of December the Tribe covered 11 of 12 spreads and made 6.87 moneyline units. From January they covered 5 of 18 and lost 4.48.

Two halves

William & Mary went 11-3 in November and December. Against the spread they were 11-1 in that stretch, the only miss a 93-60 loss at St. John’s as 28.5-point underdogs. The moneyline made 6.87 units over those two months, and two road wins as underdogs supplied most of it: at Bowling Green 82-74 at +320, and at Duquesne 83-79 at +205.

The Tribe 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Georgian Court Lions 110-632025-11-08 at Norfolk State Spartans 81-782025-11-11 at Richmond Spiders 86-902025-11-15 at St. John's Red Storm 60-932025-11-19 at Bowling Green Falcons 82-742025-11-21 v Regent Royals 104-572025-11-24 v UTEP Miners 74-632025-11-25 v Abilene Christian Wildcats 92-582025-11-30 v Old Dominion Monarchs 88-752025-12-02 at Duquesne Dukes 83-792025-12-06 at George Washington Revolutionaries 86-992025-12-18 v Radford Highlanders 96-832025-12-29 v Towson Tigers 84-702025-12-31 v Stony Brook Seawolves 76-572026-01-05 at Charleston Cougars 79-882026-01-08 at Monmouth Hawks 70-812026-01-10 at Drexel Dragons 58-642026-01-15 v North Carolina A&T Aggies 97-892026-01-22 v UNC Wilmington Seahawks 77-702026-01-24 v Hofstra Pride 89-822026-01-29 at Elon Phoenix 76-792026-01-31 v Campbell Fighting Camels 96-1042026-02-05 at UNC Wilmington Seahawks 85-782026-02-07 at Hampton Pirates 74-772026-02-12 at Northeastern Huskies 94-672026-02-14 v Elon Phoenix 78-812026-02-19 at Campbell Fighting Camels 83-842026-02-26 v Northeastern Huskies 84-772026-02-28 at North Carolina A&T Aggies 91-882026-03-03 v Hampton Pirates 94-852026-03-07 v Elon Phoenix 72-622026-03-08 v Hofstra Pride 61-92Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
20-12 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

From January the Tribe went 9-9, covered 5 of 18 and lost 4.48 units. In January alone they covered twice in eight.

Favored and beaten

As favorites they won 14 of 21 and covered 10; a unit on them in those 21 games lost 1.59. The two home defeats of the season both came at -410: Campbell 104-96 on 31 January and Elon 81-78 on 14 February. Campbell beat them again 19 days later, 84-83.

One unit on the Tribe to win, every game0+2+4+6+2.39 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs

Given points, they covered 6 of 9 and won 4 of 9, and the eight priced underdog games made 3.98 units, the last of the wins 85-78 at UNC Wilmington at +180. That 6-3 cover record left only 38 teams ahead on the same measure, with 19 level.

The Tribe at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 11 (84.6%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Away (15)won 6 (40.0%)covered 7 of 15 (46.7%)Favorite (21)won 14 (66.7%)covered 10 of 21 (47.6%)Underdog (9)won 4 (44.4%)covered 6 of 9 (66.7%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and away

11-2 at home and 6-9 on the road, with covers of 6 of 11 and 7 of 15. Over the season they covered 16 of 30.

The CAA

Elon won the first two meetings, by three points each time, then lost 72-62 in the tournament. Hofstra split the regular-season games and ended the season 92-61 in the quarterfinal.

The total

The Tribe scored 83.12 a game and allowed 77.72, and still their games went under 17 times against 13 overs.

Questions and answers

How did William & Mary start 2025-26 against the spread?

11 covers in 12 through December, with 6.87 units on the moneyline.

And after that?

From January, 9-9 straight up, 5 covers in 18, and 4.48 units lost.

Did the Tribe lose at home in 2025-26?

Twice in 13: to Campbell and Elon, both times as -410 favorites.

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