North Carolina at Aggies

The Aggies lost 19 of 30 games in 2025-26 yet beat the spread 16 times in 27, a rate only 52 Division I teams beat. January was the purest case: two wins in eight, seven covers.

Losing and covering

North Carolina A&T went 11-19 straight up and 16-11 against the spread, 59.3%. Most of that came getting points: 13 covers in 22 games as an underdog, and 9 of 14 on the road.

January

January read 2-6 and 7-1 against the number. Road losses at Stony Brook (80-81, getting 4.5), William & Mary (89-97, getting 13.5), Monmouth (81-83) and Drexel (60-61) all covered. The two wins came on back-to-back nights at home as underdogs: 79-78 over Hofstra at +380 and 80-73 over Towson at +270, which is why the month still finished 0.50 units up.

The moneyline

Covering did not mean collecting. The 23 priced underdog moneylines lost 4.85 units, and all 28 priced games together lost 3.47. Away from home the 15 priced road games lost 4.34; the 10 at home made 1.43. The upsets that paid: 71-65 at UNC Greensboro (+235), 102-82 at Elon (+285), and 71-70 over Hampton at the NBA HBCU Classic (+145).

The favorite side was small and clean: five games, four wins, all in November and December, and 1.38 units. The one loss was 69-73 to Howard on a neutral floor at -155; the wins over South Carolina State, Morgan State and North Carolina Central all covered, and an 82-79 win over Maryland Eastern Shore at -7.5 did not.

The finish

After the Elon win the Aggies lost their last four, three of them without a cover, ending 72-88 to Northeastern in the CAA first round. Charleston, Campbell and Northeastern each won both meetings, and A&T covered none of those six games.

The total

Sixteen overs and 12 unders, 57.1% over; 59 teams went over more often.

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