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Stony Brook Seawolves

College Basketball

In the second half of January the Seawolves won five games in a row as underdogs, every one of them covered. Stony Brook finished 2025-26 6.09 moneyline units up; only 34 Division I teams made more.

Five upsets in a row

The run began at home against Hofstra, 76-71 at +245, and Charleston, 112-106 at +160. It continued on the road at Northeastern 95-80 at +154, at Campbell 81-69 at +185 and at Elon 72-68 at +180. January closed 6-2, 6 covers in 8 and 7.7 units, more than the whole season’s profit.

One unit on the Seawolves to win, every game0+2+4+6+8+10+6.09 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

November had already made 5.69, most of it one game: 71-68 at Loyola Marymount at +500.

At home

The Seawolves went 12-4 at home, covered 10 of 14 there and returned 5.35 moneyline units from 14 priced home games. Twenty teams nationally had a better home cover rate; eleven made more on home moneylines. Away they were 4-9, yet the road moneyline still finished 1.19 units up, because all four road wins came as underdogs: Loyola Marymount, Northeastern, Campbell and Elon.

The Seawolves at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 12 (75.0%)covered 10 of 14 (71.4%)Away (13)won 4 (30.8%)covered 7 of 13 (53.8%)Favorite (9)won 7 (77.8%)covered 6 of 9 (66.7%)Underdog (21)won 8 (38.1%)covered 12 of 21 (57.1%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Against the spread

Eighteen covers in 30, 60%, a rate 38 teams beat. As underdogs Stony Brook covered 12 of 21 and won 8 of them outright, for 4.59 units. In their nine games as favorites they went 7-2 and covered 6.

The bad months

December went 2-5 and cost 2.91 units, beginning with a 71-55 home loss to UAlbany at -625. The season ended on four straight defeats: at Monmouth, at Hofstra, at home to Towson and 96-89 to Campbell in the CAA tournament.

The Seawolves 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Farmingdale State Rams 66-592025-11-08 v Maine Black Bears 71-602025-11-11 v St. Joseph's Long Island Golden Eagles 107-432025-11-15 at Yale Bulldogs 79-862025-11-20 v Brown Bears 80-702025-11-24 v Pacific Tigers 58-862025-11-25 v Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 61-542025-11-28 at Loyola Marymount Lions 71-682025-12-06 at Duquesne Dukes 75-842025-12-09 v Columbia Lions 77-732025-12-13 v Central Michigan Chippewas 78-552025-12-17 v UAlbany Great Danes 55-712025-12-21 at Marist Red Foxes 51-702025-12-29 at Hampton Pirates 59-622025-12-31 at William & Mary Tribe 57-762026-01-03 v North Carolina A&T Aggies 81-802026-01-08 at Drexel Dragons 37-562026-01-10 v UNC Wilmington Seahawks 71-752026-01-15 v Hofstra Pride 76-712026-01-17 v Charleston Cougars 112-1062026-01-22 at Northeastern Huskies 95-802026-01-29 at Campbell Fighting Camels 81-692026-01-31 at Elon Phoenix 72-682026-02-05 v Monmouth Hawks 75-762026-02-07 v Northeastern Huskies 69-552026-02-12 at Towson Tigers 57-692026-02-16 v Drexel Dragons 72-692026-02-21 v Hampton Pirates 79-722026-02-26 at Monmouth Hawks 69-822026-02-28 at Hofstra Pride 58-672026-03-03 v Towson Tigers 57-692026-03-07 v Campbell Fighting Camels 89-96Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-15 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Opponents and the total

Monmouth and Towson both won twice and covered twice; those four games cost 4 units. Northeastern lost twice and Stony Brook covered both. The total split 15 and 15. The highest number they were set, 159.5 at William & Mary, stayed under in a 76-57 defeat.

Questions and answers

What did Stony Brook do as an underdog?

In 2025-26 the Seawolves won 8 of 21 as underdogs and covered 12, for 4.59 units.

How did Stony Brook do at home against the spread?

10 covers in 14 home games, with 5.35 moneyline units made there.

What did one unit on Stony Brook every game return in 2025-26?

6.09 units over 30 priced games.

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