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College Basketball

Wisconsin Badgers

College Basketball

Only one Division I team returned more on the moneyline in 2025-26 than the Badgers, who made 24.1 units from 33 priced games. Five wins as underdogs did it, and one of them, at Michigan at +1600, was worth 16 on its own.

Five upsets

Wisconsin were underdogs 11 times and won 5: at Michigan 91-88 on 10 January at +1600, at Illinois 92-90 at +440, at home to Michigan State 92-71 at +114, at Purdue 97-93 at +370, and over Illinois again, 91-88 at +295 in the Big Ten tournament. One unit on them in every underdog game returned 22.19, again second only to New Orleans among Division I teams.

One unit on the Badgers to win, every game0+5+10+15+20+25+24.10 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 33 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Take the Michigan game out and the season still finishes 8.1 units up.

On the road

Four of those five upsets came away from home or on a neutral floor. The 11 priced road games made 21.01 units, a figure only two teams beat; straight up the Badgers were 6-5 away and 15-2 at home, where the 17 priced games made just 1.42.

The Badgers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 15 (88.2%)covered 11 of 17 (64.7%)Away (11)won 6 (54.5%)covered 7 of 11 (63.6%)Favorite (23)won 19 (82.6%)covered 14 of 23 (60.9%)Underdog (11)won 5 (45.5%)covered 7 of 11 (63.6%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

21 covers in 34

They covered 21 spreads and missed 13, 61.8%; 27 Division I teams covered more often. As favorites they covered 14 of 23 and made 1.91 units; the shortest-priced defeat was 73-71 at home to USC at -360.

The Badgers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Campbell Fighting Camels 96-642025-11-07 v Northern Illinois Huskies 97-722025-11-11 v Ball State Cardinals 86-552025-11-17 v SIU Edwardsville Cougars 94-692025-11-21 at BYU Cougars 70-982025-11-27 v Providence Friars 104-832025-11-28 v TCU Horned Frogs 63-742025-12-03 v Northwestern Wildcats 85-732025-12-06 v Marquette Golden Eagles 96-762025-12-10 at Nebraska Cornhuskers 60-902025-12-19 v Villanova Wildcats 66-762025-12-22 v Central Michigan Chippewas 88-612025-12-30 v Milwaukee Panthers 80-602026-01-03 v Purdue Boilermakers 73-892026-01-06 v UCLA Bruins 80-722026-01-10 at Michigan Wolverines 91-882026-01-13 at Minnesota Golden Gophers 78-752026-01-17 v Rutgers Scarlet Knights 96-872026-01-22 at Penn State Nittany Lions 98-712026-01-25 v USC Trojans 71-732026-01-28 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 67-632026-01-31 v Ohio State Buckeyes 92-822026-02-07 at Indiana Hoosiers 77-782026-02-10 at Illinois Fighting Illini 92-902026-02-13 v Michigan State Spartans 92-712026-02-17 at Ohio State Buckeyes 69-862026-02-22 v Iowa Hawkeyes 84-712026-02-25 at Oregon Ducks 71-852026-02-28 at Washington Huskies 90-732026-03-04 v Maryland Terrapins 78-452026-03-07 at Purdue Boilermakers 97-932026-03-12 v Washington Huskies 85-822026-03-13 v Illinois Fighting Illini 91-882026-03-14 v Michigan Wolverines 65-68Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
24-10 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

January

January did most of it: 7-2 and 16.39 units. February added 3.87 and March 6.03, while November and December lost 2.2 between them.

Illinois and Michigan

Illinois lost both meetings and Wisconsin covered both, for 7.35 units. Michigan won the Big Ten semifinal 68-65, but Wisconsin covered there too, so in two games against the national champions they were 1-1 straight up and 2-0 against the spread.

The total

Twenty-one overs and 13 unders in 34 games; 28 teams went over more often.

The season ended in the NCAA tournament’s first round, 83-82 to High Point.

Questions and answers

Did Wisconsin make money on the moneyline in 2025-26?

24.1 units over 33 priced games, second in Division I; 8.1 without the +1600 win at Michigan.

Should the Badgers be backed when they get points?

In 2025-26 it paid: 5-6 straight up, 7-4 against the spread, and 22.19 units.

How often did Wisconsin cover?

21 times in 34, 61.8%.

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