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Purdue Boilermakers

College Basketball

The Boilermakers covered the spread in only 5 of 17 home games in 2025-26, a rate only 30 Division I teams fell below, while winning 12 of them. Laying the number with Purdue was the losing side of a 27-8 season.

Winning without covering

Purdue went 27-8 and covered 15 of 35, 42.9%. As favorites, 31 times, they won 24 and covered 12. Home was the worst of it: 12-5 straight up, 5-12 against the spread, and the 15 priced home moneylines lost 4.50 units.

The Boilermakers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 12 (70.6%)covered 5 of 17 (29.4%)Away (11)won 8 (72.7%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Favorite (31)won 24 (77.4%)covered 12 of 31 (38.7%)Underdog (4)won 3 (75.0%)covered 3 of 4 (75.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The home losses came at short prices: 93-97 to Wisconsin at -485, 74-76 to Michigan State at -278, 82-88 to Illinois at -270 and 58-81 to Iowa State at -230. Wins over Oakland at -31.5, Penn State at -22.5 and Oregon at -19.5 did not cover either.

One unit on the Boilermakers to win, every game0-2-1+1+2+0.53 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

January

January ran 5-3 straight up and 1-7 against the spread, 2.16 units lost, with road losses at UCLA and Indiana as favorites of 4.5 points or more.

The Boilermakers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 v Evansville Purple Aces 82-512025-11-07 v Oakland Golden Grizzlies 87-772025-11-13 at Alabama Crimson Tide 87-802025-11-16 v Akron Zips 97-792025-11-20 v Memphis Tigers 80-712025-11-21 v Texas Tech Red Raiders 86-562025-11-28 v Eastern Illinois Panthers 109-622025-12-02 at Rutgers Scarlet Knights 81-652025-12-06 v Iowa State Cyclones 58-812025-12-10 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 85-572025-12-13 v Marquette Golden Eagles 79-592025-12-20 v Auburn Tigers 88-602025-12-29 v Kent State Golden Flashes 101-602026-01-03 at Wisconsin Badgers 89-732026-01-07 v Washington Huskies 81-732026-01-10 v Penn State Nittany Lions 93-852026-01-14 v Iowa Hawkeyes 79-722026-01-17 at USC Trojans 69-642026-01-20 at UCLA Bruins 67-692026-01-24 v Illinois Fighting Illini 82-882026-01-27 at Indiana Hoosiers 67-722026-02-01 at Maryland Terrapins 93-632026-02-07 v Oregon Ducks 68-642026-02-10 at Nebraska Cornhuskers 80-772026-02-14 at Iowa Hawkeyes 78-572026-02-17 v Michigan Wolverines 80-912026-02-20 v Indiana Hoosiers 93-642026-02-26 v Michigan State Spartans 74-762026-03-01 at Ohio State Buckeyes 74-822026-03-04 at Northwestern Wildcats 70-662026-03-07 v Wisconsin Badgers 93-972026-03-12 v Northwestern Wildcats 81-682026-03-13 v Nebraska Cornhuskers 74-582026-03-14 v UCLA Bruins 73-662026-03-15 v Michigan Wolverines 80-72Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
27-8 in 35 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs

Purdue was an underdog only four times; just 17 teams were underdogs less often. It won three, made 3.60 units, and the biggest was the Big Ten tournament final: 80-72 over Michigan at +200. Earlier wins at Alabama (+140) and Nebraska (+120) covered too. One unit a game across the 32 priced games came out 0.53 up.

The opponents

Wisconsin split two, the road win 89-73 a cover and the home loss not. Northwestern lost twice by four and 13 and Purdue covered neither.

The total

Eighteen unders and 16 overs, with one game carrying no posted total: no lean.

March, start to finish

The Big Ten title run was four wins in four days, 12 to 15 March, three of them as favorites. Then, in the NCAA tournament, Purdue beat Queens 104-71, Miami 79-69 and Texas 79-77, then lost the Elite Eight 64-79 to Arizona.

Questions and answers

Should you lay points with the Boilermakers at home?

Not on 2025-26: they covered 5 of 17 home games while winning 12.

How did Purdue do as an underdog?

Three wins in four games and 3.60 units, including the Big Ten final over Michigan at +200.

Which month was Purdue’s worst against the spread?

January: 5-3 straight up, but one cover in eight.

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