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Little Rock Trojans

College Basketball

The Trojans were underdogs 20 times in 2025-26 and covered seven of them, and 27 Division I teams sat below that 35% rate. Blind money on Little Rock lost 11.0 units over 30 priced games, 9.9 of it as underdogs.

Twenty underdog spots, seven covers

Getting points, Little Rock won four games and covered seven. The misses were rarely close: 85-47 at Central Arkansas getting 3.5, 90-78 at home to Arkansas State getting 9.5, 89-68 at Murray State getting 13.5. The four underdog wins all paid plus money, the best 82-74 at Lindenwood at +225, the other three at +145, +120 and +120.

The Trojans at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 7 (53.8%)covered 4 of 11 (36.4%)Away (18)won 5 (27.8%)covered 8 of 18 (44.4%)Favorite (10)won 6 (60.0%)covered 5 of 10 (50.0%)Underdog (20)won 4 (20.0%)covered 7 of 20 (35.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Ten of the first 11 lined games away

Little Rock’s schedule put it on the road for most of November and December, and the first 11 games with a line went 2-9. The heaviest defeats were non-conference: 89-49 at Marquette getting 21.5 and 90-58 at West Virginia getting 27.5, neither covered. There was one cover in the five December games with a line. November cost 3.8 units and December 3.3.

The Trojans 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 v Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes 92-632025-11-10 at Milwaukee Panthers 72-922025-11-12 at Marquette Golden Eagles 49-892025-11-15 at Ball State Cardinals 68-622025-11-18 at Murray State Racers 68-892025-11-21 at Texas State Bobcats 56-652025-11-29 at Southern Illinois Salukis 65-742025-12-03 at Central Arkansas Bears 47-852025-12-06 v Arkansas State Red Wolves 78-902025-12-09 at West Virginia Mountaineers 58-902025-12-16 at Morehead State Eagles 64-782025-12-18 at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 77-622025-12-22 v Williams Baptist Eagles 98-842026-01-01 v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 77-582026-01-03 v Tennessee State Tigers 79-842026-01-08 at SIU Edwardsville Cougars 73-702026-01-10 at Lindenwood Lions 82-742026-01-15 v Eastern Illinois Panthers 74-632026-01-17 v Western Illinois Leathernecks 86-792026-01-22 at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 65-702026-01-29 at Tennessee State Tigers 63-702026-01-31 at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 77-872026-02-03 at UT Martin Skyhawks 52-552026-02-05 v Lindenwood Lions 74-792026-02-07 v SIU Edwardsville Cougars 61-712026-02-12 at Western Illinois Leathernecks 77-582026-02-14 at Eastern Illinois Panthers 72-782026-02-19 v UT Martin Skyhawks 67-652026-02-21 v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 65-702026-02-26 v Morehead State Eagles 70-762026-02-28 v Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 89-702026-03-04 v Lindenwood Lions 62-72Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
12-20 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

January: SIUE and Lindenwood

January was 5-4 with five covers in nine and 1.11 units: back-to-back road wins at SIU Edwardsville, 73-70 at +145, and at Lindenwood, then home wins over Eastern Illinois and Western Illinois. February gave it back, 3-6 with 4.02 units lost.

One unit on the Trojans to win, every game0-10-8-6-4-2-11.00 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and the conference

At home the Trojans covered 4 of 11, 36.4%; only 55 teams were lower. Favored 10 times they went 6-4 and covered half; two of the four losses came at home in February, 71-61 to SIU Edwardsville at -135 and 76-70 to Morehead State at -155. Southeast Missouri State and Morehead State each beat them twice. Lindenwood, met three times, ended the season, 72-62 in the conference tournament.

The total

The Trojans’ 30 totals split exactly, 15 over and 15 under, with Little Rock scoring 70.53 points a game and allowing 74.12.

Questions and answers

How did Little Rock do as an underdog against the spread?

Seven covers in 20 games as an underdog in 2025-26, 35%.

Did backing the Trojans pay in 2025-26?

No: blind support across their 30 priced games came to 11.0 units down.

What was the Trojans’ best month?

January: 5-4 with five covers in nine and 1.11 units on the moneyline.

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