Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

The Lumberjacks covered 22 of 31 spreads in 2025-26; only Penn covered more often in Division I, and Prairie View A&M matched them. As favorites they also made money, 5.49 units, a return only UMBC beat.

Favorites that paid

Stephen F. Austin was favored 25 times and lost twice. It covered 18 of those 25, and backed for a unit in all 24 priced favorite games it returned 5.49; Miami (OH) matched that figure exactly. A nine-game cover run ran from 3 December to 12 January, and a 13-game winning streak from 10 January to 21 February.

On the road

Away from home the Lumberjacks went 12-3 and covered 12 of 15, 80%. On that road rate three Division I teams ranked higher, three level. The wins came at short prices and still beat the number: 75-48 at East Texas A&M, 74-64 at Northwestern State, 88-81 at Lamar.

Where the covers stopped

At home SFA went 15-1 and covered 10 of 14, and the 13 priced home games made 3.28 units, including a 90-65 win over Arkansas State at +105 in the second game of the season. Big home lines were the exception: 69-67 over Northwestern State at -14.5, 74-70 over East Texas A&M at -16.5 and 81-78 over Nicholls at -12.5 all missed, and New Orleans won 77-73 on 23 February with SFA at -900.

McNeese

McNeese beat the Lumberjacks twice in three meetings, 66-64 in January and 76-59 in the Southland final; SFA’s one win, 67-60 at home at +120, came at the second-longest price of any SFA win all season. In the NIT they lost 89-84 at Tulsa.

Defense and the total

SFA allowed 65.94 points a game; 15 Division I teams allowed fewer. Eighteen unders and 13 overs, 58.1%; 67 Division I teams leaned further to the under, so the total is a mild lean at most.

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