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Tennessee St Tigers

College Basketball

Backing the Tigers blind in 2025-26 made 13.06 units over 29 priced games, and only 12 Division I teams made more. Not one month lost money, and the road alone returned 10.73 units.

Five months, five profits

Tennessee State made 2.05 units in November, 5.55 in December, 1.81 in January, 2.44 in February and 1.21 in March. December’s figure came mostly from one night: 63-60 at UNLV at +600 in the Jack Jones Classic.

One unit on the Tigers to win, every game0+5+10+13.06 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdogs on the road

The Tigers were underdogs 11 times, won six and covered eight, and those 11 moneylines made 10.29 units; 18 teams made more as underdogs. All six of those wins came on the road: 75-73 at UNC Asheville (+205), 70-64 at Chattanooga (+300), 96-86 at Lindenwood (+164), and 79-71 at Southeast Missouri State (+140). The 17 priced road games made 10.73 units in all, a figure only 11 teams beat.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (12)won 10 (83.3%)covered 5 of 10 (50.0%)Away (17)won 10 (58.8%)covered 11 of 17 (64.7%)Favorite (18)won 14 (77.8%)covered 10 of 18 (55.6%)Underdog (11)won 6 (54.5%)covered 8 of 11 (72.7%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As favorites the Tigers were steadier than spectacular: 14-4, ten covers in 18, and 2.77 units on the 18 priced games, a return 28 teams beat. The worst of the four favorite losses was 53-80 at Alabama A&M at -192.

Against the spread

The Tigers went 23-9 and covered 18 of 29, 62.1%; only 24 teams covered more often. Eleven of those 18 covers came in 17 lined road games. At home it was 5-5, with misses as big favorites over Morehead State (-7.5), Southern Indiana (-8.5) and Eastern Illinois (-9.5).

The Tigers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Fisk Bulldogs 101-502025-11-08 at Belmont Bruins 79-872025-11-11 v Oakwood Ambassadors 114-762025-11-16 at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 82-952025-11-20 at Tennessee Volunteers 60-892025-11-25 at UNC Asheville Bulldogs 75-732025-11-29 v Tennessee Wesleyan Bulldogs 98-772025-11-30 at Chattanooga Mocs 70-642025-12-03 at Alabama A&M Bulldogs 53-802025-12-13 at UNLV Rebels 63-602025-12-18 v UT Martin Skyhawks 78-712025-12-20 v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 82-912025-12-30 at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 88-762026-01-03 at Little Rock Trojans 84-792026-01-08 at Western Illinois Leathernecks 90-682026-01-10 at Eastern Illinois Panthers 70-742026-01-15 v Morehead State Eagles 105-1002026-01-17 v Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 73-672026-01-22 at SIU Edwardsville Cougars 66-742026-01-24 at Lindenwood Lions 96-862026-01-29 v Little Rock Trojans 70-632026-02-02 v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 85-902026-02-05 v Eastern Illinois Panthers 77-682026-02-07 v Western Illinois Leathernecks 83-562026-02-12 at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 73-712026-02-14 at Morehead State Eagles 86-942026-02-19 v Lindenwood Lions 89-802026-02-21 v SIU Edwardsville Cougars 80-532026-02-26 at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 79-712026-02-28 at UT Martin Skyhawks 67-422026-03-06 v UT Martin Skyhawks 68-552026-03-07 v Morehead State Eagles 93-67Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
23-9 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The finish

Tennessee State closed with six straight wins and six covers, two of them at UT Martin and Southeast Missouri State as underdogs, then won the OVC tournament: 68-55 over UT Martin and 93-67 over Morehead State. UT Martin was beaten three times, all covers. In the NCAA tournament Iowa State won the first-round game 108-74.

The total

Sixteen unders and 13 overs, no lean.

Questions and answers

Was Tennessee State profitable to back in 2025-26?

Every month: 13.06 units over 29 priced games, only 12 Division I teams better.

Were Tennessee State underdogs worth backing in 2025-26?

Six wins in 11, eight covers, and 10.29 units on the moneyline.

How did Tennessee State finish the 2025-26 season?

Six straight wins, the OVC tournament title, then a 74-108 loss to Iowa State in the NCAA first round.

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