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Youngstown St Penguins

College Basketball

The Penguins covered 9 of 28 spreads in 2025-26, a rate that beat just five programs. When favored they went 9-9 and lost 5.6 units; as underdogs, a +900 win at Grand Canyon put them 3.68 units up.

Nine covers

Youngstown State covered 9 times in 28, 32.1%. Five programs posted a lower rate and three matched it. It was poor everywhere: 4 of 12 at home, 5 of 15 on the road, 5 of 17 as favorites.

The Penguins 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at Pittsburgh Panthers 59-742025-11-07 at Grand Canyon Lopes 90-812025-11-10 v Penn State Shenango Nittany Lions 115-532025-11-15 at St. Bonaventure Bonnies 80-842025-11-19 at Toledo Rockets 75-922025-11-23 v UNC Greensboro Spartans 62-682025-11-24 v Georgia Southern Eagles 67-612025-11-28 v Chicago State Cougars 87-642025-12-03 v Wright State Raiders 69-682025-12-06 at IU Indianapolis Jaguars 78-552025-12-14 v Thiel Tomcats 103-522025-12-17 at Robert Morris Colonials 77-802025-12-20 v South Carolina Upstate Spartans 74-652025-12-29 v Detroit Mercy Titans 68-732026-01-01 v Oakland Golden Grizzlies 83-852026-01-04 at Northern Kentucky Norse 79-942026-01-07 v Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 69-712026-01-09 v Bryant & Stratton (OH) Bobcats 99-612026-01-15 at Wright State Raiders 83-932026-01-17 at Cleveland State Vikings 78-802026-01-22 v Green Bay Phoenix 88-812026-01-24 v Milwaukee Panthers 64-652026-01-30 v IU Indianapolis Jaguars 85-762026-02-04 at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 90-612026-02-07 v Robert Morris Colonials 66-722026-02-12 at Oakland Golden Grizzlies 86-822026-02-15 at Detroit Mercy Titans 70-762026-02-18 v Cleveland State Vikings 106-822026-02-22 v Northern Kentucky Norse 64-582026-02-25 at Milwaukee Panthers 65-782026-02-28 at Green Bay Phoenix 63-852026-03-04 at Robert Morris Colonials 53-68Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
15-17 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorites at even money

Favored 18 times, the Penguins won nine. One unit on them in those games lost 5.6, a result only eight Division I teams finished below. The three shortest losses: 68-73 at home to Detroit Mercy at -535, 78-80 at Cleveland State at -375, and 64-65 at home to Milwaukee at -278.

One unit on the Penguins to win, every game0+2+4+6+8-1.92 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The underdog side

As underdogs they won three of 11 and made 3.68 units. Most of it was one night: 90-81 at Grand Canyon at +900 on 7 November, which carried a 4-4 November to 5.89 units. They also won at Oakland, 86-82 at +154. Over the whole season the moneyline lost 1.92 over 29 priced.

January

Three wins, six losses, and no cover in eight lined games. The month cost 5.56 units on the moneyline.

The Penguins at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (15)won 10 (66.7%)covered 4 of 12 (33.3%)Away (15)won 4 (26.7%)covered 5 of 15 (33.3%)Favorite (18)won 9 (50.0%)covered 5 of 17 (29.4%)Underdog (11)won 3 (27.3%)covered 4 of 11 (36.4%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Robert Morris

Three meetings with Robert Morris, three losses, no covers, the last 53-68 in the Horizon League first round at +154. Detroit Mercy and Milwaukee also won both meetings without Youngstown State covering either.

Home and away

At home the Penguins went 10-5, covered 4 of 12 and lost 2.76 units over 12 priced games. On the road a 4-11 record still returned 1.02 units over 15 priced, because of the Grand Canyon price.

Questions and answers

How often did Youngstown State cover in 2025-26?

Nine times in 28 lined games, 32.1%.

Did backing the Penguins as favorites pay?

No: 9-9 straight up and 5.6 units lost over 18 games.

What was Youngstown State’s best underdog win?

90-81 at Grand Canyon at +900 on 7 November.

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