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Northern Kentucky Norse

College Basketball

Twenty-one Norse games in 30 cleared the posted total in 2025-26; only Xavier and Notre Dame finished with a higher over rate. Northern Kentucky also lost all three games against Wright State.

The over

This is the number that defines a Northern Kentucky game. The total was posted 30 times and the over came in 21, 70%. Only Xavier and Notre Dame went over more often. The Norse scored 83.15 a game, 33rd in Division I, and allowed 77.47.

The last two meetings with Wright State show it: 92-91 on 28 February against a total of 153.5, and 103-90 in the Horizon League tournament semifinal against 157.5.

The Norse 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Cincinnati Clermont Cougars 126-692025-11-08 at Tennessee Volunteers 56-952025-11-12 at East Tennessee State Buccaneers 63-752025-11-16 v Cumberlands Patriots 101-732025-11-20 at Central Michigan Chippewas 90-662025-11-24 v Eastern Kentucky Colonels 82-712025-11-26 v Wofford Terriers 93-832025-11-29 v Boston University Terriers 74-652025-12-03 v Cleveland State Vikings 95-802025-12-06 at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 77-792025-12-09 v Brescia Bearcats 92-532025-12-13 at Bellarmine Knights 80-762025-12-17 v Oakland Golden Grizzlies 77-822025-12-21 v Charleston Cougars 74-852025-12-29 at Robert Morris Colonials 79-772026-01-01 v IU Indianapolis Jaguars 81-722026-01-04 v Youngstown State Penguins 94-792026-01-09 at Milwaukee Panthers 85-672026-01-11 at Green Bay Phoenix 78-802026-01-15 v Detroit Mercy Titans 96-712026-01-17 v Robert Morris Colonials 89-922026-01-24 at Wright State Raiders 80-882026-01-30 at Detroit Mercy Titans 77-902026-02-01 at Oakland Golden Grizzlies 65-762026-02-04 v Green Bay Phoenix 84-872026-02-07 v Milwaukee Panthers 67-622026-02-12 at IU Indianapolis Jaguars 84-812026-02-18 v Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 87-712026-02-22 at Youngstown State Penguins 58-642026-02-25 at Cleveland State Vikings 81-702026-02-28 v Wright State Raiders 91-922026-03-04 at Oakland Golden Grizzlies 85-842026-03-08 v Green Bay Phoenix 96-762026-03-09 v Wright State Raiders 90-103Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
20-14 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home favorites that lost

Watch the short home prices. Green Bay won 87-84 there on 4 February with the Norse at -360. Robert Morris won 92-89 on 17 January at -305. Oakland and Charleston won there in December too, at -180 and -218. Over 21 priced games as favorites, a unit on Northern Kentucky lost 3.01.

The Norse at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 12 (70.6%)covered 7 of 14 (50.0%)Away (15)won 7 (46.7%)covered 5 of 15 (33.3%)Favorite (22)won 14 (63.6%)covered 10 of 22 (45.5%)Underdog (9)won 3 (33.3%)covered 3 of 9 (33.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Against the spread

They covered 13 of 31, 41.9%, and 10 of 22 when favored. At home the split was even, seven and seven. On the road it was 5 of 15, and only 31 teams covered less often away. As underdogs they covered three times in nine; 21 teams did worse and three matched it.

The moneyline lost 5.22 units across 30 priced games. The longest-priced win came in November: 90-66 at Central Michigan at +155.

One unit on the Norse to win, every game0-4-2-5.22 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Horizon League opponents

Wright State won all three, 3.0 units gone. Green Bay won two of three, the Norse taking the tournament meeting 96-76. Oakland won the first two meetings and lost the third, 85-84 in the tournament’s first round, with the Norse at +110. Cleveland State lost both meetings and failed to cover either.

The Norse against the teams they played mostGreen Bay Phoenix1-2, covered 1Oakland Golden Grizzlies1-2, covered 1Wright State Raiders0-3, covered 0Cleveland State Vikings2-0, covered 2Detroit Mercy Titans1-1, covered 1IU Indianapolis Jaguars2-0, covered 0Milwaukee Panthers2-0, covered 1Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons1-1, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

Is the over a habit for Northern Kentucky games?

It was in 2025-26: 21 overs in 30, 70%, behind only Xavier and Notre Dame.

How did the Norse do against Wright State in 2025-26?

Three games, three losses: 88-80, 92-91 and 103-90 in the Horizon League tournament.

Which Northern Kentucky home loss came at the shortest price?

Green Bay, 87-84 on 4 February, with the Norse at -360.

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