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Mercyhurst Lakers

College Basketball

Mercyhurst beat the spread 21 times and missed it 10 in 2025-26; Penn and six other teams were the only ones to cover more often. In their second game Mercyhurst won at Loyola Chicago at +2000.

One night at +2000

On 6 November Mercyhurst won 73-65 at Loyola Chicago, getting 21.5 points and priced at +2000. That one result was worth 20 units of profit on a single unit staked. It is why the moneyline finished 12.06 units up over 32 priced games while the Lakers went 17-17, and why November, a 3-5 month, made 15.34. Take it out and the rest of the season lost 7.94.

One unit on the Lakers to win, every game0+5+10+15+12.06 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The spread every week

The spread record does not depend on one game. Mercyhurst covered 21 of 31: only Penn, Prairie View A&M, Stephen F. Austin, Fresno State, Eastern Michigan, Howard and Portland State did better, and Navy matched it. As big road underdogs the Lakers beat the number even in defeat: they lost at Northwestern getting 26.5, at Syracuse getting 24.5 and at Miami (OH) getting 15.5, and covered all three.

The Lakers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (15)won 12 (80.0%)covered 9 of 13 (69.2%)Away (19)won 5 (26.3%)covered 12 of 18 (66.7%)Favorite (17)won 12 (70.6%)covered 11 of 17 (64.7%)Underdog (15)won 3 (20.0%)covered 10 of 14 (71.4%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Away from home they went 5-14 but covered 12 of 18. At home they went 12-3 and covered 9 of 13. The covers held through conference play: January was 6-4 against the number, February 6-2 in a 4-4 month. New Haven and Saint Francis lost both meetings, and Mercyhurst covered all four.

The conference

Mercyhurst won its Northeast Conference quarterfinal over Fairleigh Dickinson 70-61 and its semifinal over Stonehill 56-51, then lost the final 79-70 at LIU. LIU and Fairleigh Dickinson each won two of three meetings. The short-priced losses all came at home: Fairleigh Dickinson at -278, and Stonehill and Wagner at -192.

The Lakers against the teams they played mostFairleigh Dickinson Knights1-2, covered 1Long Island University Sharks1-2, covered 2Stonehill Skyhawks2-1, covered 2Central Connecticut Blue Devils1-1, covered 2Chicago State Cougars1-1, covered 0Le Moyne Dolphins1-1, covered 2New Haven Chargers2-0, covered 2Saint Francis Red Wolves2-0, covered 2
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Sixteen overs, sixteen unders, so no lean on the total. Mercyhurst scored 69.35 a game and allowed 67.38.

Questions and answers

Does Mercyhurst cover the spread?

Often: 21 covers against 10 misses in 2025-26, with six covers in eight February games.

What was Mercyhurst’s biggest upset in 2025-26?

73-65 at Loyola Chicago on 6 November, at +2000.

Did Mercyhurst cover on the road?

Twelve times in 18 away games, while winning five.

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