Le Moyne Dolphins

The Dolphins were favored in all three games against Stonehill in 2025-26 and lost all three, the last an 81-71 home defeat at -225 in the Northeast Conference quarterfinal. Away from home they beat the spread 10 times in 17.

Stonehill

Stonehill beat Le Moyne 65-54 at Le Moyne on 31 January at -142, 77-68 at Stonehill on 21 February at -135, and 81-71 in the conference tournament quarterfinal. Three favorite prices, three defeats, no covers. Those were three of the seven losses Le Moyne took as a favorite; in 17 games laying points the Dolphins went 10-7, covered 7, and the favorite moneylines lost 2.38.

On the road

Away from home Le Moyne went 5-12 but covered 10 of 17, 58.8%. Early-season trips produced covers inside big numbers: 74-69 at Xavier getting 24.5, 92-81 at St. Bonaventure getting 21.5, 72-64 at Boston College getting 12.5. The 17 road moneylines still lost 7.92; 46 Division I teams lost more.

The under, mostly away

Nineteen unders and 12 overs, 61.3%; the under rate trailed 41 Division I teams and tied six. On the road the split was 12 unders in 17. Six straight games went under from 28 December to 17 January, four of them on the road.

Getting points

As underdogs, 14 games, Le Moyne won 4 and covered 9. Two of the wins came on consecutive days at the Lafayette Classic, 76-63 at Lafayette at +170 and 83-79 over Monmouth at +235.

Over the season: 15-17, 16 covers in 31, and 6.25 units lost on 31 priced games. At home the picture flipped: 9-4 straight up, only 5 covers in 12, and 0.32 units made on the 12 home moneylines. The worst stretch against the number was five straight misses, 29 January to 12 February, which took in the first Stonehill loss.

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