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Evansville Purple Aces

College Basketball

The Purple Aces won seven games in 2025-26 and lost 12.05 moneyline units over 29 priced games; only 29 Division I teams lost more. Four of those wins came at prices of +195 or longer, the best 88-80 over Illinois State at +455.

Where the wins came from

Evansville were underdogs 26 times. The four Division I wins against the price were Oregon State 73-69 at +240 at a neutral site, 72-69 at Indiana State at +270, Illinois State 88-80 at home at +455, and Valparaiso 80-79 at home at +195. Those four returned 11.6 units between them. The other 21 priced underdog games were all lost, a unit each, so the underdog side of the season finished 9.4 down.

One unit on the Aces to win, every game0-10-5-12.05 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The four games as favorites

Evansville were favored four times and lost three, all at home by close margins: Middle Tennessee 77-72 at -140, UT Arlington 84-76 at -145 and Drake 66-65 at -142. The only favorite win was 64-52 over Ball State. Those four favorite games cost 2.65 units.

The Aces at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (15)won 5 (33.3%)covered 5 of 13 (38.5%)Away (13)won 1 (7.7%)covered 7 of 13 (53.8%)Favorite (4)won 1 (25.0%)covered 1 of 4 (25.0%)Underdog (26)won 4 (15.4%)covered 13 of 26 (50.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Points and the spread

The Purple Aces scored 66.97 a game; 18 Division I teams scored less. Against the spread they went 14-16, 13 of 26 as underdogs, and 7 of 13 away against 5 of 13 at home. On the road they won once in 13 games, the Indiana State upset, and the road moneyline lost 8.3 units. The widest road defeat was 98-64 at Belmont as 18.5-point underdogs.

The Aces 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 at Purdue Boilermakers 51-822025-11-07 v Calumet St. Joseph Crimson Wave 92-502025-11-09 v Oakland City Mighty Oaks 76-472025-11-12 v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 72-772025-11-18 v UT Arlington Mavericks 76-842025-11-21 v Oregon State Beavers 73-692025-11-23 v Akron Zips 59-972025-11-24 v Charleston Cougars 59-782025-12-03 v Ball State Cardinals 64-522025-12-06 at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 79-802025-12-13 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58-822025-12-16 v Belmont Bruins 78-832025-12-21 v Drake Bulldogs 65-662025-12-29 at Bradley Braves 68-762026-01-01 at Illinois State Redbirds 47-732026-01-04 v Northern Iowa Panthers 48-622026-01-07 v Murray State Racers 69-792026-01-10 at Indiana State Sycamores 72-692026-01-13 v Bradley Braves 90-942026-01-20 at UIC Flames 49-762026-01-28 at Drake Bulldogs 78-822026-01-31 at Northern Iowa Panthers 55-712026-02-03 v Indiana State Sycamores 63-842026-02-06 at Valparaiso Beacons 63-702026-02-09 v Illinois State Redbirds 88-802026-02-12 at Southern Illinois Salukis 60-862026-02-18 v UIC Flames 46-842026-02-21 at Murray State Racers 75-882026-02-25 at Belmont Bruins 64-982026-02-28 v Valparaiso Beacons 80-792026-03-01 v Southern Illinois Salukis 67-812026-03-05 v Northern Iowa Panthers 59-68Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-25 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Opponents

Northern Iowa won all three meetings, the last 68-59 in the MVC tournament, which Evansville covered at +13.5. Bradley won twice but Evansville covered both. Southern Illinois and UIC won twice each without an Evansville cover, the second UIC game 84-46.

The total

Evansville games split 15 over and 15 under. The two lowest totals of the season, 128.5 and 127.5, both against Northern Iowa, stayed under, as did the January home loss to the same team, 62-48.

Questions and answers

Are the Purple Aces worth backing as underdogs?

Rarely to win: 4-22 as underdogs in 2025-26 for 9.4 units lost, though they covered 13 of 26.

How did Evansville do on the road in 2025-26?

1-12, 7 covers in 13, and 8.3 moneyline units lost.

What was Evansville’s biggest upset in 2025-26?

88-80 over Illinois State at +455.

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