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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

College Basketball

As favorites the Blue Raiders won 7 of 14 in 2025-26 and covered only three; just 18 Division I teams covered less often laying points. As underdogs they covered 10 of 15 and made money on the moneyline.

Laying points: 3-11

Middle Tennessee was favored 14 times, won seven and covered three, 21.4%. The 14 favorite moneylines lost 4.47 units; only 19 teams lost more there. The three covers all came at home, by 37, 12 and 10 points: 88-51 over Louisiana Tech, 78-66 over Delaware, 77-67 over UTEP.

The Raiders at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (15)won 11 (73.3%)covered 4 of 12 (33.3%)Away (13)won 5 (38.5%)covered 8 of 13 (61.5%)Favorite (14)won 7 (50.0%)covered 3 of 14 (21.4%)Underdog (15)won 7 (46.7%)covered 10 of 15 (66.7%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The losses as favorites stacked up from 8 January to 7 February: at UTEP (-185), at Louisiana Tech (-175), at Jacksonville State, then home defeats to Western Kentucky at -285 and FIU at -270, and an 88-89 loss at Delaware at -218. Seven favorite losses in all. Four favorite wins missed too, by one or three points: 68-67 over Kennesaw State, 68-67 over Sam Houston, 90-87 over Missouri State and 86-85 over New Mexico State.

Getting points: 10-5

As underdogs the Blue Raiders went 7-8 straight up, covered 10 of 15, and the 15 underdog moneylines made 1.39 units. The best prices: 90-87 over Murray State at +240 in the Cayman Islands Classic, 59-55 at New Mexico State (+145), 90-87 at Kennesaw State (+136).

One unit on the Raiders to win, every game0-4-2+2-3.09 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and away

Home: 11-4 straight up, 4 covers in 12, a rate 40 teams fell below. Road: 5-8 straight up, 8 covers in 13. At the Cayman Islands Classic they went 1-2. Over the season that adds up to 13 covers in 29 lined games, 44.8%.

The Raiders 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-05 v Milligan Buffaloes 100-512025-11-08 v Webster Gorloks 109-562025-11-12 at Evansville Purple Aces 77-722025-11-19 at Michigan Wolverines 61-862025-11-23 v Murray State Racers 90-872025-11-24 v George Washington Revolutionaries 79-922025-11-25 v McNeese Cowboys 62-722025-12-01 v UAB Blazers 76-612025-12-07 v Belmont Bruins 62-832025-12-17 v Kennesaw State Owls 68-672025-12-21 v Cumberland Phoenix 74-582025-12-29 at Houston Cougars 60-692026-01-02 v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 88-512026-01-04 v Sam Houston Bearkats 68-672026-01-08 at UTEP Miners 80-832026-01-10 at New Mexico State Aggies 59-552026-01-14 at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 58-592026-01-17 v Missouri State Bears 90-872026-01-23 at Jacksonville State Gamecocks 58-752026-01-29 v Liberty Flames 65-812026-01-31 v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 60-652026-02-04 v Florida International Panthers 84-882026-02-07 at Delaware Blue Hens 88-892026-02-12 at Kennesaw State Owls 90-872026-02-14 at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 80-822026-02-18 at Sam Houston Bearkats 70-782026-02-21 v Delaware Blue Hens 78-662026-02-26 v UTEP Miners 77-672026-02-28 v New Mexico State Aggies 86-852026-03-05 at Florida International Panthers 73-672026-03-07 at Missouri State Bears 75-632026-03-12 v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 69-80Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-15 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

January

January was 4-5 and 2-7 against the spread, 2.38 units lost. The season ended 69-80 to Louisiana Tech in the Conference USA quarterfinal, with Middle Tennessee a -135 favorite: Tech’s second win in three meetings.

The total

Fifteen overs, 14 unders: no lean.

Questions and answers

Do the Blue Raiders cover as favorites?

Rarely in 2025-26: three covers in 14 games as the favorite.

Is Middle Tennessee a good underdog bet?

In 2025-26 it covered 10 of 15 as an underdog, and those 15 moneylines made 1.39 units.

How did Middle Tennessee do against the spread at home?

Four covers in 12 home games while winning 11 of 15 there.

Conference USA